Happy Valley · 2023-02-22 · 21:17
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-02-22 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ALLGREEKTOME, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by D A Hayes, won by 2, with KOKUSHI MUSOU second and HAPPY SOUL third. Victory came as the 2.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ALLGREEKTOME TT 1.09.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 7 | 2.9 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | KOKUSHI MUSOU B1/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 6 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | HAPPY SOUL CP/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 3 | 3.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | SURE JOYFUL V K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 8.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | PUBLICIST H Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 5 | 6.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | TOP TOP TEA S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 4 | 9.6 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | SUPER JOY P M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 9 | 65.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | HAPPY UNITED TT1 L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 8 | 27.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | GENERAL ACE CP A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 11 | 42.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | LUCKY RUBY B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 69.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | JIANGXI STAMINA B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 12 | 48.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | SHENZHOU TWELVE B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 99.0 | 11-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HAPPY SOUL | 21.8% | 4.59 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | PUBLICIST | 20.6% | 4.86 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | ALLGREEKTOME | 20.1% | 4.97 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | TOP TOP TEA | 10.6% | 9.44 | 6 |
| 5 | 9 | SURE JOYFUL | 7.9% | 12.71 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | KOKUSHI MUSOU | 5.8% | 17.23 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 4.9% | 20.49 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | LUCKY RUBY | 1.9% | 52.10 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | HAPPY UNITED | 1.9% | 52.40 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | GENERAL ACE | 1.9% | 52.70 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | SUPER JOY | 1.4% | 70.89 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | SHENZHOU TWELVE | 1.2% | 82.44 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 29
PLACE
2 31.5
4 15
5 13
QUINELLA
2,4 158
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 66.5
2,5 70.5
4,5 25
FORECAST
4,2 223
TIERCE
4,2,5 798
TRIO
2,4,5 144
FIRST 4
2,4,5,9 238
QUARTET
4,2,5,9 4,202
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 16
A3 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
1,5/2 50
1,5/4 86.5