跑馬地 · 2023-02-22 · 21:47
第 7場
2023-02-22跑馬地第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、J Richards訓練的FLYING ON THE TURF勝出，贏出1/2。ACT OF FAITH獲得亞軍；RACING FIGHTER獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門MEGA BONUS跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FLYING ON THE TURF B/XB/TT 1.10.10 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 8 | 4.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | ACT OF FAITH A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 12 | 55.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | COMPASSION SUPER TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 3 | 4.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | TURBO POWER PC-/B2 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 4.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | MEGA BONUS V Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | CHEONG FAT H/PC K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 4 | 59.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | FIERY FLYING M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | DRAGON KINGDOM L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 9 | 46.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | HIGH CLOUD B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 10 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | JAZZ STEED B/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 11 | 72.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | HURRY HURRY RICH B-/SR-/PC1/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 5 | 55.0 | 16 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 22.2% | 4.51 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | COMPASSION SUPER | 15.1% | 6.62 | 4 |
| 3 | 10 | TURBO POWER | 13.9% | 7.17 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | ACT OF FAITH | 12.6% | 7.92 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | MEGA BONUS | 11.1% | 8.99 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | HIGH CLOUD | 5.4% | 18.61 | 10 |
| 7 | 4 | RACING FIGHTER | 5.0% | 19.86 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | JAZZ STEED | 4.5% | 22.42 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | FIERY FLYING | 3.6% | 27.88 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | HURRY HURRY RICH | 3.5% | 28.89 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 1.6% | 64.10 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | CHEONG FAT | 1.5% | 64.79 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 45
PLACE
2 33
4 107.5
8 17.5
QUINELLA
2,8 332
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 667
2,8 113.5
4,8 313.5
FORECAST
8,2 443
TIERCE
8,2,4 9,907
TRIO
2,4,8 3,953
FIRST 4
1,2,4,8 1,910
QUARTET
8,2,4,1 38,440
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 22.5
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,5/2,4,8 58,143
6TH DOUBLE
4/2 73
4/8 107.5
TRIPLE TRIO
9,11>1,5/2,4,5/2,4,8 3,181,776
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
9,11>1,5/2,4,5/Any Combination 996