沙田 · 2023-02-26 · 17:59
第 10場
2023-02-26沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Hamelin策騎、D J Whyte訓練的TAMRA BLITZ勝出，贏出N。SEASONS BLISS獲得亞軍；NEVER TOO SOON獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.9倍大熱門BEAUTY MISSILE跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | TAMRA BLITZ 後段發力 H/SR/XB 1.22.61 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 8 | 13.0 | N |
| 2 | 14 | SEASONS BLISS 後段發力 B- M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 2 | 64.0 | N |
| 3 | 2 | NEVER TOO SOON 後段發力 TT J McDonald · D J Hall | J McDonald | D J Hall | 10 | 14.0 | N |
| 4 | 4 | NABOO LEGEND B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 9 | 25.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 13 | GOLDEN ARTIE 早段領放 H/XB S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 1 | 5.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | STUNNING IMPACT B J Melham · P C Ng | J Melham | P C Ng | 4 | 7.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | BEAUTY MISSILE B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 2.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | HYPER DRAGON BALL 後段發力 L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 14 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 | THESIS 後段發力 CP1/TT H Bowman · R Gibson | H Bowman | R Gibson | 11 | 70.0 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | PARTERRE H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 3 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 11 | 7 | ERIMO B K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 6 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 12 | 1 | NOT USUAL STAR H/TT Y L Chung · W Y So | Y L Chung | W Y So | 5 | 9.1 | 3 |
| 13 | 10 | CIRCUIT NINE 後段發力 B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 13 | 91.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 12 | 146.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | GOLDEN EMPIRE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 25.0% | 4.00 | 7 |
| 2 | 13 | GOLDEN ARTIE | 12.6% | 7.94 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | ERIMO | 9.5% | 10.52 | 11 |
| 4 | 1 | NOT USUAL STAR | 9.0% | 11.07 | 12 |
| 5 | 8 | PARTERRE | 9.0% | 11.13 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | STUNNING IMPACT | 8.2% | 12.12 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | TAMRA BLITZ | 6.7% | 14.89 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | HYPER DRAGON BALL | 4.5% | 22.32 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | NABOO LEGEND | 4.3% | 23.27 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | CIRCUIT NINE | 4.0% | 24.91 | 13 |
| 11 | 2 | NEVER TOO SOON | 2.8% | 35.44 | 3 |
| 12 | 14 | SEASONS BLISS | 2.0% | 49.64 | 2 |
| 13 | 3 | THESIS | 1.3% | 76.10 | 9 |
| 14 | 12 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 1.0% | 105.10 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 135
PLACE
2 46.5
9 36
14 146
QUINELLA
9,14 5,460.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 297
2,14 1,530
9,14 1,381.5
FORECAST
9,14 9,168
TIERCE
9,14,2 151,076
TRIO
2,9,14 19,662
FIRST 4
2,4,9,14 75,598
QUARTET
9,14,2,4 2,077,444
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 35.5
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
7,8,9/2,9,14 3,840,736
9TH DOUBLE
8/9 719.5
8/14 485.5
SIX UP
5/2/1/5/8/9 1,818,008
5,6/1,2/1,2/5,11/8,9/9,14 56,131
3 [P F Yiu] —
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
5/8/9 5,878
5/8/14 4,244