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Sha Tin · 2023-02-26 · 17:59

Race 10

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A+3 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.61
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 TAMRA BLITZ Closed strongly H/SR/XB 1.22.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · D J Whyte 8 13.0 N
2 0 SEASONS BLISS Closed strongly B- M L Yeung · K H Ting 2 64.0 N
3 0 NEVER TOO SOON Closed strongly TT J McDonald · D J Hall 10 14.0 N
4 0 NABOO LEGEND B Shinn · D A Hayes 9 25.0 1/2
5 0 GOLDEN ARTIE Led early H/XB S De Sousa · P F Yiu 1 5.4 1-1/4
6 0 STUNNING IMPACT B J Melham · P C Ng 4 7.3 1-1/2
8 0 HYPER DRAGON BALL Closed strongly L Hewitson · T P Yung 14 13.0 2
9 0 THESIS Closed strongly CP1/TT H Bowman · R Gibson 11 70.0 2
10 0 PARTERRE H Bentley · A T Millard 3 14.0 2
11 0 ERIMO B K Teetan · J Size 6 16.0 3
12 0 NOT USUAL STAR H/TT Y L Chung · W Y So 5 9.1 3
13 0 CIRCUIT NINE Closed strongly B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 13 91.0 4-3/4
14 0 CRYSTAL POWERFUL M F Poon · C S Shum 12 146.0 8-1/2
— 0 BEAUTY MISSILE B Z Purton · F C Lor — 2.9 1-1/2
— 0 GOLDEN EMPIRE C Y Ho · K W Lui — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-26 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. TAMRA BLITZ, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with SEASONS BLISS second and NEVER TOO SOON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite BEAUTY MISSILE did not finish.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TAMRA BLITZ—2. SEASONS BLISS+0.05L3. NEVER TOO SOON+0.05L4. NABOO LEGEND+0.5L5. GOLDEN ARTIE+1.25L6. STUNNING IMPACT+1.5L8. HYPER DRAGON BALL+2L9. THESIS+2L10. PARTERRE+2L11. ERIMO+3L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BEAUTY MISSILE 25.0% 4.00 —
2 0 GOLDEN ARTIE 12.6% 7.94 5
3 0 ERIMO 9.5% 10.52 11
4 0 NOT USUAL STAR 9.0% 11.07 12
5 0 PARTERRE 9.0% 11.13 10
6 0 STUNNING IMPACT 8.2% 12.12 6
7 0 TAMRA BLITZ 6.7% 14.89 1
8 0 HYPER DRAGON BALL 4.5% 22.32 8
9 0 NABOO LEGEND 4.3% 23.27 4
10 0 CIRCUIT NINE 4.0% 24.91 13
11 0 NEVER TOO SOON 2.8% 35.44 3
12 0 SEASONS BLISS 2.0% 49.64 2
13 0 THESIS 1.3% 76.10 9
14 0 CRYSTAL POWERFUL 1.0% 105.10 14
BEAUTY MISSILEGOLDEN ARTIEERIMONOT USUAL STARPARTERRESTUNNING IMPACTTAMRA BLITZ — wonHYPER DRAGON BALLNABOO LEGENDCIRCUIT NINENEVER TOO SOONSEASONS BLISSTHESISCRYSTAL POWERFUL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 135

PLACE

2 46.5

9 36

14 146

QUINELLA

9,14 5,460.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,9 297

2,14 1,530

9,14 1,381.5

FORECAST

9,14 9,168

TIERCE

9,14,2 151,076

TRIO

2,9,14 19,662

FIRST 4

2,4,9,14 75,598

QUARTET

9,14,2,4 2,077,444

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 —

A2 35.5

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

7,8,9/2,9,14 3,840,736

9TH DOUBLE

8/9 719.5

8/14 485.5

SIX UP

5/2/1/5/8/9 1,818,008

5,6/1,2/1,2/5,11/8,9/9,14 56,131

3 [P F Yiu] —

1 [Z Purton] —

TREBLE

5/8/9 5,878

5/8/14 4,244