Sha Tin · 2023-02-26 · 15:36
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | UNPRESUMING Closed strongly B 1.22.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 13 | 3.8 | N |
| 2 | 0 | GOOD NEWS Closed strongly B/TT J Melham · P F Yiu | J Melham | P F Yiu | 9 | 5.9 | N |
| 3 | 0 | WAR WEAPON Closed strongly XB1/TT S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 10 | 8.2 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION Closed strongly CP K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 6 | 26.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | KASI FARASI K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 1 | 29.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | THUNDERBOLTAURUS H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 4 | 3.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BLISSFUL STAR V/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 8 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | THE HULK C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | YOUNG SPARKLE Led early A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 3 | 75.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | CHILL WAY Closed strongly H M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 12 | 47.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | BEAUTY MISSION CP/SR/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 14 | 41.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | ROYAL AGILITY B/TT C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 11 | 116.0 | 10-1/2 |
| — | 0 | ROMANTIC LAOS Closed strongly H1/TT B Shinn · J Richards | B Shinn | J Richards | — | 25.0 | 2-1/2 |
| — | 0 | LADY'S CHOICE H/P L Ferraris · C W Chang | L Ferraris | C W Chang | — | 26.0 | 5-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-26 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. UNPRESUMING, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by N, with GOOD NEWS second and WAR WEAPON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite THUNDERBOLTAURUS finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | UNPRESUMING | 22.9% | 4.37 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | THUNDERBOLTAURUS | 20.2% | 4.96 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | GOOD NEWS | 8.9% | 11.28 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | BLISSFUL STAR | 7.3% | 13.78 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | WAR WEAPON | 6.8% | 14.70 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | THE HULK | 6.5% | 15.27 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY MISSION | 6.4% | 15.59 | 13 |
| 8 | 0 | LADY'S CHOICE | 4.8% | 20.99 | — |
| 9 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION | 4.0% | 25.25 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 3.5% | 28.27 | — |
| 11 | 0 | CHILL WAY | 3.1% | 32.49 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | KASI FARASI | 2.8% | 36.04 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | YOUNG SPARKLE | 1.7% | 59.95 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | ROYAL AGILITY | 1.3% | 77.76 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 38
PLACE
1 17.5
2 18.5
8 25
QUINELLA
1,2 115.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 48
1,8 79.5
2,8 66
FORECAST
2,1 309
TIERCE
2,1,8 1,514
TRIO
1,2,8 266
FIRST 4
1,2,8,13 1,691
QUARTET
2,1,8,13 24,396
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 23
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,6/1,2,8 227,178
5TH DOUBLE
5/1 200
5/2 1,098
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,7/2,5,6/1,2,8 9,761,418
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,7/2,5,6/Any Combination 17,122