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Sha Tin · 2023-02-26 · 15:03

Race 5

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1000m Course A+3 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-26 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PLEASANT ENDEAVOR, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1/2, with DANCING CODE second and RUN RUN COOL third. The 3.7 favourite LUCKY EIGHT finished 8th.

Result

Official · 0.56.45
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B 0.56.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu 3 20.0 1/2
2 6 DANCING CODE PC1/TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes 14 9.8 1/2
3 2 RUN RUN COOL PC B Shinn · F C Lor 11 22.0 1
4 11 ENNEA FORTUNE H/TT L Hewitson · C H Yip 12 17.0 1-3/4
5 1 METRO WARRIOR B K Teetan · D A Hayes 6 30.0 3-1/2
6 14 TALENTS SUPREMO XB L Currie · R Gibson 8 147.0 3-1/2
7 7 VICTORY MOMENTS SR/TT Z Purton · F C Lor 7 4.4 3-1/2
8 4 LUCKY EIGHT CP J Melham · P F Yiu 13 3.7 4-3/4
9 10 FORTUNE WARRIOR S De Sousa · P C Ng 2 27.0 5-1/2
10 8 SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 1 5.8 5-3/4
11 13 NOBLE WIN XB1 A Badel · J Size 9 7.2 6-1/4
12 3 SUPERB BOY TT H Bowman · K W Lui 5 14.0 6-1/2
13 12 LEAN MASTER TT V Borges · C H Yip 10 204.0 6-3/4
14 9 G LINER SR1 C L Chau · T P Yung 4 150.0 10

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PLEASANT ENDEAVOR2. DANCING CODE+0.5L3. RUN RUN COOL+1L4. ENNEA FORTUNE+1.75L5. METRO WARRIOR+3.5L6. TALENTS SUPREMO+3.5L7. VICTORY MOMENTS+3.5L8. LUCKY EIGHT+4.75L9. FORTUNE WARRIOR+5.5L10. SUPERB CAPITALIST+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick SUPERB BOY (20.6%) finished 12th — the winner PLEASANT ENDEAVOR was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 SUPERB BOY 20.6% 4.85 12
2 4 LUCKY EIGHT 17.5% 5.70 8
3 1 METRO WARRIOR 12.1% 8.28 5
4 7 VICTORY MOMENTS 10.7% 9.35 7
5 8 SUPERB CAPITALIST 8.6% 11.69 10
6 5 PLEASANT ENDEAVOR 6.8% 14.81 1
7 10 FORTUNE WARRIOR 5.0% 19.90 9
8 6 DANCING CODE 4.2% 24.06 2
9 13 NOBLE WIN 3.9% 25.81 11
10 11 ENNEA FORTUNE 3.4% 29.44 4
11 2 RUN RUN COOL 3.2% 30.78 3
12 9 G LINER 2.6% 39.01 14
13 14 TALENTS SUPREMO 0.8% 121.14 6
14 12 LEAN MASTER 0.7% 145.35 13
SUPERB BOYLUCKY EIGHTMETRO WARRIORVICTORY MOMENTSSUPERB CAPITALISTPLEASANT ENDEAVOR — wonFORTUNE WARRIORDANCING CODENOBLE WINENNEA FORTUNERUN RUN COOLG LINERTALENTS SUPREMOLEAN MASTER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 202

PLACE

2 51.5

5 46.5

6 32

QUINELLA

5,6 963.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 410

2,6 332.5

5,6 257.5

FORECAST

5,6 1,636

TIERCE

5,6,2 35,642

TRIO

2,5,6 5,123

FIRST 4

2,5,6,11 17,221

QUARTET

5,6,2,11 462,201

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1

A2

A3 24.5

4TH DOUBLE

3/5 667.5

3/6 69.5