Sha Tin · 2023-02-26 · 13:31
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-26 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. TRUE LEGEND, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by F C Lor, won by 2-1/4, with ROYAL BOMB second and YES WE CAN third. The winner led throughout. The 2.8 favourite ROYAL BOMB finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | TRUE LEGEND Wire to wire B 1.37.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 9 | 3.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | ROYAL BOMB Closed strongly TT J Melham · C Fownes | J Melham | C Fownes | 10 | 2.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | YES WE CAN Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 1 | 8.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | DECRYPT Closed strongly XB/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 5 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 2 | SO WE JOY Closed strongly H/XB/TT C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 7 | 8.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | CAN'T GO WONG CP/TT- K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 40.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | READY TO WIN CP-/XB/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 4 | 27.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | SKYEY SUPREME B/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 6 | 24.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | LEADING FORTUNE PC S De Sousa · J Size | S De Sousa | J Size | 2 | 17.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | NORDIC STAR TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 8.4 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | NORDIC STAR | 20.4% | 4.90 | 10 |
| 2 | 1 | TRUE LEGEND | 15.5% | 6.47 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | ROYAL BOMB | 14.6% | 6.86 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | YES WE CAN | 11.0% | 9.07 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | LEADING FORTUNE | 9.4% | 10.65 | 9 |
| 6 | 7 | READY TO WIN | 9.0% | 11.16 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | SKYEY SUPREME | 8.2% | 12.21 | 8 |
| 8 | 2 | SO WE JOY | 5.3% | 18.89 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | DECRYPT | 4.4% | 22.96 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | CAN'T GO WONG | 2.3% | 43.40 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 36.5
PLACE
1 15
4 14
10 21
QUINELLA
1,4 57.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 27.5
1,10 47.5
4,10 40
FORECAST
1,4 153
TIERCE
1,4,10 479
TRIO
1,4,10 113
FIRST 4
1,4,9,10 338
QUARTET
1,4,10,9 4,556
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE
13/1 2,694
13/4 403
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,13/1,4,10 952,001
3 PICK 1
A1 16
A2 —
A3 —