Sha Tin · 2023-02-26 · 16:09

Race 7

Group 1 GOOD TO FIRM 2000m Course A+3 7 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-26 was Group 1 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by HD, with ROMANTIC WARRIOR second and MONEY CATCHER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.5 favourite ROMANTIC WARRIOR finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.59.98

Pos	No.	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	1	GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.59.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui	C Y Ho	K W Lui	4	126 lb	2.3	HD
2	2	ROMANTIC WARRIOR TT K Teetan · C S Shum	K Teetan	C S Shum	6	126 lb	1.5	HD
3	5	MONEY CATCHER Led early S De Sousa · F C Lor	S De Sousa	F C Lor	1	126 lb	46.0	1-1/2
4	6	GLORIOUS DRAGON TT H Bentley · P C Ng	H Bentley	P C Ng	2	126 lb	79.0	2-1/4
5	7	PANFIELD Closed strongly TT H Bowman · A T Millard	H Bowman	A T Millard	3	126 lb	44.0	2-1/2
6	3	TOURBILLON DIAMOND Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C S Shum	A Badel	C S Shum	5	126 lb	32.0	4-1/2
7	4	KA YING STAR V/TT J McDonald · A S Cruz	J McDonald	A S Cruz	7	126 lb	53.0	21-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23

The model's top pick ROMANTIC WARRIOR (40.7%) finished 2nd — the winner GOLDEN SIXTY was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	No.	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	2	ROMANTIC WARRIOR	40.7%	2.46	2	1.5
2	1	GOLDEN SIXTY	33.0%	3.03	1	2.3
3	5	MONEY CATCHER	8.2%	12.14	3	46.0
4	3	TOURBILLON DIAMOND	8.1%	12.35	6	32.0
5	4	KA YING STAR	4.2%	23.71	7	53.0
6	7	PANFIELD	3.3%	29.97	5	44.0
7	6	GLORIOUS DRAGON	2.4%	41.37	4	79.0

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 23

PLACE

1 10.1

2 10.1

5 33

QUINELLA

1,2 12.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 10.5

1,5 45.5

2,5 39

FORECAST

1,2 34

TIERCE

1,2,5 175

TRIO

1,2,5 37

FIRST 4

1,2,5,6 157

QUARTET

1,2,5,6 1,109

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 21

A3 —

A1 —

6TH DOUBLE

2/1 144

2/2 14

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