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Sha Tin · 2023-02-26 · 16:09

Race 7

Group 1 GOOD TO FIRM 2000m Course A+3 7 runners

Result

Official · 1.59.98
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.59.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 4 2.3 HD
2 0 ROMANTIC WARRIOR TT K Teetan · C S Shum 6 1.5 HD
3 0 MONEY CATCHER Led early S De Sousa · F C Lor 1 46.0 1-1/2
4 0 GLORIOUS DRAGON TT H Bentley · P C Ng 2 79.0 2-1/4
5 0 PANFIELD Closed strongly TT H Bowman · A T Millard 3 44.0 2-1/2
6 0 TOURBILLON DIAMOND Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · C S Shum 5 32.0 4-1/2
7 0 KA YING STAR V/TT J McDonald · A S Cruz 7 53.0 21-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-26 was Group 1 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by HD, with ROMANTIC WARRIOR second and MONEY CATCHER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.5 favourite ROMANTIC WARRIOR finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN SIXTY—2. ROMANTIC WARRIOR+0.2L3. MONEY CATCHER+1.5L4. GLORIOUS DRAGON+2.25L5. PANFIELD+2.5L6. TOURBILLON DIAMOND+4.5L7. KA YING STAR+21.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick ROMANTIC WARRIOR (40.7%) finished 2nd — the winner GOLDEN SIXTY was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ROMANTIC WARRIOR 40.7% 2.46 2
2 0 GOLDEN SIXTY 33.0% 3.03 1
3 0 MONEY CATCHER 8.2% 12.14 3
4 0 TOURBILLON DIAMOND 8.1% 12.35 6
5 0 KA YING STAR 4.2% 23.71 7
6 0 PANFIELD 3.3% 29.97 5
7 0 GLORIOUS DRAGON 2.4% 41.37 4
ROMANTIC WARRIORGOLDEN SIXTY — wonMONEY CATCHERTOURBILLON DIAMONDKA YING STARPANFIELDGLORIOUS DRAGON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 23

PLACE

1 10.1

2 10.1

5 33

QUINELLA

1,2 12.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 10.5

1,5 45.5

2,5 39

FORECAST

1,2 34

TIERCE

1,2,5 175

TRIO

1,2,5 37

FIRST 4

1,2,5,6 157

QUARTET

1,2,5,6 1,109

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 21

A3 —

6TH DOUBLE

2/1 144

2/2 14