Sha Tin · 2023-02-26 · 14:01
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY ETERNAL Closed strongly 1.33.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 1.1 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 4 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS Closed strongly B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 5 | 28.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Led early B M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 1 | 23.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly B C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 7 | 53.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | THE ROCK B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 8 | 43.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY CP S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 6 | 11.0 | 11 |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE J McDonald · F C Lor | J McDonald | F C Lor | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-26 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BEAUTY ETERNAL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 2, with CALIFORNIA TEN second and SPIRITED EXPRESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY ETERNAL | 64.5% | 1.55 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY | 11.7% | 8.51 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 5.7% | 17.44 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS | 5.2% | 19.21 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 4.8% | 20.70 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | THE ROCK | 2.9% | 34.85 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 2.8% | 35.59 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 2.3% | 44.05 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 11.5
PLACE
6 18.5
7 33
9 10.1
QUINELLA
6,9 48.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 85
6,9 22
7,9 41
FORECAST
9,6 49
TIERCE
9,6,7 290
TRIO
6,7,9 179
FIRST 4
5,6,7,9 182
QUARTET
9,6,7,5 1,216
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
1/6 54.5
1/9 52
3 PICK 1
A1 11.5
A2 —
A3 —