Sha Tin · 2023-02-26 · 17:24
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-26 was 4YO over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SUPER SUNNY SING, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with SWORD POINT second and GALAXY WITNESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUPER SUNNY SING Closed strongly H 1.46.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 5 | 3.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | SWORD POINT Closed strongly CP H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 13 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly B B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 11 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | TUCHEL Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 4.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR Closed strongly CP-/XB1 K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 10 | 53.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | VOYAGE BUBBLE Led early CP J Melham · P F Yiu | J Melham | P F Yiu | 6 | 4.2 | 4 |
| 7 | 14 | BON'S A PEARLA Closed strongly CP1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 4 | 44.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 13 | SINBA Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · J Richards | C L Chau | J Richards | 8 | 89.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | MAJESTIC COLOUR V/H1 M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 3 | 63.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | LA CITY BLANCHE Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 12 | 33.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | SWEET ENCOUNTER L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 7 | 24.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | ENCOUNTERED B/H1/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 9 | 28.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 1 | KEEFY H1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 13.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 3 | BEAUTYVERSE H/TT J McDonald · A S Cruz | J McDonald | A S Cruz | 14 | 28.0 | 15 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TUCHEL | 19.9% | 5.01 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | SUPER SUNNY SING | 17.3% | 5.79 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 16.1% | 6.21 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | ENCOUNTERED | 15.2% | 6.58 | 12 |
| 5 | 13 | SINBA | 6.9% | 14.41 | 8 |
| 6 | 1 | KEEFY | 4.4% | 22.90 | 13 |
| 7 | 7 | GALAXY WITNESS | 3.7% | 27.07 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 3.5% | 28.49 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | SWORD POINT | 3.4% | 29.49 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | MAJESTIC COLOUR | 2.6% | 38.32 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | BEAUTYVERSE | 2.5% | 40.62 | 14 |
| 12 | 6 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 2.1% | 48.61 | 5 |
| 13 | 11 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 1.3% | 76.60 | 10 |
| 14 | 14 | BON'S A PEARLA | 1.1% | 87.87 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 34
PLACE
7 47
8 15.5
9 32
QUINELLA
8,9 236.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 121
7,9 252
8,9 86
FORECAST
8,9 322
TIERCE
8,9,7 3,552
TRIO
7,8,9 1,272
FIRST 4
4,7,8,9 920
QUARTET
8,9,7,4 16,380
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 23.5
8TH DOUBLE
5/8 464
5/9 182