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Sha Tin · 2023-02-26 · 17:24

Race 9

4YO GOOD TO FIRM 1800m Course A+3 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.46.26
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SUPER SUNNY SING Closed strongly H 1.46.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So 5 3.4 1/2
2 0 SWORD POINT Closed strongly CP H Bowman · F C Lor 13 10.0 1/2
3 0 GALAXY WITNESS Closed strongly B B Shinn · C Fownes 11 18.0 2-3/4
4 0 TUCHEL Z Purton · J Size 1 4.1 2-3/4
5 0 FLAGSHIP WARRIOR Closed strongly CP-/XB1 K Teetan · D A Hayes 10 53.0 3-1/2
7 0 BON'S A PEARLA Closed strongly CP1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes 4 44.0 5
8 0 SINBA Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · J Richards 8 89.0 5-1/4
9 0 MAJESTIC COLOUR V/H1 M Chadwick · F C Lor 3 63.0 5-1/2
10 0 LA CITY BLANCHE Closed strongly H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz 12 33.0 5-3/4
11 0 SWEET ENCOUNTER L Currie · J Size 7 24.0 8-1/4
12 0 ENCOUNTERED B/H1/TT S De Sousa · K L Man 9 28.0 8-1/2
13 0 KEEFY H1 K C Leung · F C Lor 2 13.0 9-1/4
14 0 BEAUTYVERSE H/TT J McDonald · A S Cruz 14 28.0 15
— 0 VOYAGE BUBBLE Led early CP J Melham · P F Yiu — 4.2 4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-26 was 4YO over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SUPER SUNNY SING, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with SWORD POINT second and GALAXY WITNESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER SUNNY SING—2. SWORD POINT+0.5L3. GALAXY WITNESS+2.75L4. TUCHEL+2.75L5. FLAGSHIP WARRIOR+3.5L7. BON'S A PEARLA+5L8. SINBA+5.25L9. MAJESTIC COLOUR+5.5L10. LA CITY BLANCHE+5.75L11. SWEET ENCOUNTER+8.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick TUCHEL (19.9%) finished 4th — the winner SUPER SUNNY SING was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 TUCHEL 19.9% 5.01 4
2 0 SUPER SUNNY SING 17.3% 5.79 1
3 0 VOYAGE BUBBLE 16.1% 6.21 —
4 0 ENCOUNTERED 15.2% 6.58 12
5 0 SINBA 6.9% 14.41 8
6 0 KEEFY 4.4% 22.90 13
7 0 GALAXY WITNESS 3.7% 27.07 3
8 0 SWEET ENCOUNTER 3.5% 28.49 11
9 0 SWORD POINT 3.4% 29.49 2
10 0 MAJESTIC COLOUR 2.6% 38.32 9
11 0 BEAUTYVERSE 2.5% 40.62 14
12 0 FLAGSHIP WARRIOR 2.1% 48.61 5
13 0 LA CITY BLANCHE 1.3% 76.60 10
14 0 BON'S A PEARLA 1.1% 87.87 7
TUCHELSUPER SUNNY SING — wonVOYAGE BUBBLEENCOUNTEREDSINBAKEEFYGALAXY WITNESSSWEET ENCOUNTERSWORD POINTMAJESTIC COLOURBEAUTYVERSEFLAGSHIP WARRIORLA CITY BLANCHEBON'S A PEARLA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 34

PLACE

7 47

8 15.5

9 32

QUINELLA

8,9 236.5

QUINELLA PLACE

7,8 121

7,9 252

8,9 86

FORECAST

8,9 322

TIERCE

8,9,7 3,552

TRIO

7,8,9 1,272

FIRST 4

4,7,8,9 920

QUARTET

8,9,7,4 16,380

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 23.5

A3 —

A1 —

8TH DOUBLE

5/8 464

5/9 182