Sha Tin · 2023-02-26 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT Closed strongly 1.38.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 52.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET Closed strongly H/PC/XB J Melham · P C Ng | J Melham | P C Ng | 12 | 15.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | EMERGING Closed strongly H/TT S De Sousa · R Gibson | S De Sousa | R Gibson | 11 | 51.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS Closed strongly H/P/TT L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 8 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SMART FOLKS B/SR A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 14 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BRILLIANT PIONEER H K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 4 | 39.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | KILLER INSTINCT Closed strongly V/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 10 | 3.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GREEN LASER TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 7 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | M M NEBULA Led early B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 2 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI B/XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 3 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | NICE BIRDIE B1/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 6 | 3.9 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | LUCK STAR M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 5 | 9.6 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | PACKING MONKEYKING K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 1 | 25.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | STARFIRE GEMS H/P/TT R Maia · J Richards | R Maia | J Richards | 13 | 114.0 | 19 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-26 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. FORTUNE PRESIDENT, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by Y S Tsui, won by SH, with BILLIONAIRE SECRET second and EMERGING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite KILLER INSTINCT finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NICE BIRDIE | 23.6% | 4.24 | 11 |
| 2 | 0 | GREEN LASER | 11.4% | 8.76 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | PACKING MONKEYKING | 8.6% | 11.60 | 13 |
| 4 | 0 | KILLER INSTINCT | 8.2% | 12.12 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | SUN OF MAKFI | 7.8% | 12.82 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 6.9% | 14.56 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING TEENS | 6.0% | 16.72 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | EMERGING | 5.8% | 17.38 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | SMART FOLKS | 5.7% | 17.56 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | M M NEBULA | 5.2% | 19.16 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | LUCK STAR | 5.0% | 19.81 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | BRILLIANT PIONEER | 2.1% | 47.62 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 1.9% | 51.34 | 1 |
| 14 | 0 | STARFIRE GEMS | 1.7% | 58.14 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 526
PLACE
2 120.5
6 45
13 134
QUINELLA
6,13 3,964
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 733
2,13 1,832
6,13 995.5
FORECAST
13,6 8,322
TIERCE
13,6,2 229,073
TRIO
2,6,13 38,703
FIRST 4
1,2,6,13 67,311
QUARTET
13,6,2,1 —
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 24
A2 —