沙田 · 2023-03-11 · 15:36
第 6場
2023-03-11沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Y L Chung策騎、D J Whyte訓練的CHEVAL VALIANT勝出，贏出2。SPEEDY FORTUNE獲得亞軍；EQUILIBRIUM TURBO獲得季軍。2.4倍大熱門HONG KONG HALL跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/H/TT 0.55.80 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 2 | 5.5 | 2 |
| 2 | 14 | SPEEDY FORTUNE V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 14 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO B/TT H Bowman · R Gibson | H Bowman | R Gibson | 5 | 6.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | SPEEDY SMARTIE TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 73.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | HONG KONG HALL TT1 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 13 | 2.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | FORTE CP/XB/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 9 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | SPARKLING KNIGHT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 8 | 20.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | DASHING TRIUMPH CP/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 7 | 55.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | JAZZ STEED B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 4 | 123.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | CIRCUIT SEVEN H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 12 | 11.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK CP-/B2 M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 3 | 34.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | INNOCONSTRUCTION B1/TT M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 10 | 8.8 | 9 |
| 13 | 5 | COSMO NAVIGATOR B H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 11 | 96.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 14 | 7 | HAPPY HUNK B1/TT1 K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 103.0 | 13-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | HONG KONG HALL | 28.8% | 3.47 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | INNOCONSTRUCTION | 12.7% | 7.86 | 12 |
| 3 | 1 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 12.4% | 8.09 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO | 9.5% | 10.54 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | FORTE | 7.2% | 13.97 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 5.0% | 20.09 | 10 |
| 7 | 9 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 4.7% | 21.21 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | HAPPY HUNK | 3.8% | 26.46 | 14 |
| 9 | 2 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 3.6% | 27.69 | 7 |
| 10 | 14 | SPEEDY FORTUNE | 3.4% | 29.50 | 2 |
| 11 | 12 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 3.1% | 31.83 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | DASHING TRIUMPH | 3.1% | 32.65 | 8 |
| 13 | 13 | JAZZ STEED | 2.0% | 50.83 | 9 |
| 14 | 5 | COSMO NAVIGATOR | 0.8% | 120.49 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 55
PLACE
1 23.5
6 18
14 45
QUINELLA
1,14 650
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 72
1,14 185.5
6,14 137.5
FORECAST
1,14 1,151
TIERCE
1,14,6 7,231
TRIO
1,6,14 1,389
FIRST 4
1,6,9,14 12,726
QUARTET
1,14,6,9 294,134
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 26.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,10,12/1,6,14 49,583
5TH DOUBLE
10/1 720
10/14 258
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,6,14/4,10,12/Any Combination 173,541