沙田 · 2023-03-11 · 14:32
第 4場
2023-03-11沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、D A Hayes訓練的REGENT GLORY勝出，贏出1-1/4。TURIN WARRIOR獲得亞軍；CHARMANDER獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.3倍大熱門OWNERS' PRAISE跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | REGENT GLORY 一路領先 1.22.68 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 1 | 6.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | TURIN WARRIOR 後段發力 B/XB A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 10 | 32.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | CHARMANDER 後段發力 B/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 7 | 24.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | HERO ICON TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 8 | 7.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | RED BRICK FIGHTER 後段發力 B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | FAST BUCK B Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 4.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | D STAR B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 6.1 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | OWNERS' PRAISE K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 2 | 3.3 | 3 |
| 9 | 13 | TAILOR MADE 後段發力 TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 9 | 122.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | STRATHPEFFER 後段發力 H/SR M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 14 | 76.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | TIER GOODY TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 5 | 169.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | DECRYPT XB/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 11 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | POLYMER GLORIOUS SR H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 13 | 259.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 9 | UPTREND H/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 12 | 115.0 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FAST BUCK | 31.7% | 3.15 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 17.6% | 5.67 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | D STAR | 10.0% | 9.96 | 7 |
| 4 | 14 | REGENT GLORY | 8.8% | 11.37 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | HERO ICON | 7.8% | 12.76 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 6.6% | 15.19 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | TURIN WARRIOR | 6.6% | 15.24 | 2 |
| 8 | 1 | DECRYPT | 4.3% | 23.10 | 12 |
| 9 | 13 | TAILOR MADE | 1.9% | 52.14 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | STRATHPEFFER | 1.4% | 72.31 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | POLYMER GLORIOUS | 1.0% | 104.51 | 13 |
| 12 | 5 | CHARMANDER | 0.9% | 112.95 | 3 |
| 13 | 9 | UPTREND | 0.7% | 139.00 | 14 |
| 14 | 8 | TIER GOODY | 0.6% | 156.27 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 64
PLACE
5 62.5
6 69.5
14 22
QUINELLA
6,14 1,675.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 1,107.5
5,14 227.5
6,14 293.5
FORECAST
14,6 1,772
TIERCE
14,6,5 25,585
TRIO
5,6,14 9,031
FIRST 4
5,6,10,14 7,333
QUARTET
14,6,5,10 189,226
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,5/5,6,14 416,210
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 31
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
2/6 131.5
2/14 357.5