沙田 · 2023-03-11 · 16:38
第 8場
2023-03-11沙田第8場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、F C Lor訓練的RUN RUN BUDDY勝出，贏出SH。UNIVERSAL HORIZON獲得亞軍；WIDE BLUE YONDER獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.4倍大熱門SMILING COLLECTOR跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | RUN RUN BUDDY 一路領先 CP 1.21.59 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 14 | 5.4 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON 後段發力 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 7.0 | SH |
| 3 | 7 | WIDE BLUE YONDER 後段發力 CP-/B1/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 2 | 4.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | NORDIC COMBINED 後段發力 B/TT2 A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 13 | 73.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | WIN WIN 後段發力 B- C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 51.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | BEAT HOLLOW M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 110.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | HORSESAIN BOLT B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 6 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | PUBLICIST H Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 11 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | SMILING COLLECTOR 後段發力 V/XB L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 4 | 3.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | STAR OF YUEN LONG 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 10 | 15.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | FIGHTING STAR B A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 7 | 33.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | FAULDS B-/XB/V1/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 5 | 13.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 3 | ULTRA EXPRESS 後段發力 B/TT V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 3 | 131.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 9 | CLASSIC POSH V- Y L Chung · D J Hall | Y L Chung | D J Hall | 9 | 110.0 | 20-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | PUBLICIST | 16.2% | 6.17 | 8 |
| 2 | 6 | RUN RUN BUDDY | 13.7% | 7.30 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 12.6% | 7.96 | 9 |
| 4 | 4 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 12.2% | 8.18 | 2 |
| 5 | 14 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 8.5% | 11.74 | 10 |
| 6 | 7 | WIDE BLUE YONDER | 7.9% | 12.73 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | FAULDS | 6.6% | 15.24 | 12 |
| 8 | 2 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 5.7% | 17.41 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | FIGHTING STAR | 5.7% | 17.59 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | WIN WIN | 3.4% | 29.73 | 5 |
| 11 | 13 | NORDIC COMBINED | 2.4% | 42.24 | 4 |
| 12 | 3 | ULTRA EXPRESS | 1.9% | 51.73 | 13 |
| 13 | 9 | CLASSIC POSH | 1.8% | 54.25 | 14 |
| 14 | 11 | BEAT HOLLOW | 1.4% | 70.30 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 54.5
PLACE
4 23.5
6 24
7 17
QUINELLA
4,6 207.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 77
4,7 52.5
6,7 58.5
FORECAST
6,4 514
TIERCE
6,4,7 2,079
TRIO
4,6,7 312
FIRST 4
4,6,7,13 4,289
QUARTET
6,4,7,13 84,593
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 25
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,9/4,6,7 8,688
7TH DOUBLE
3/4 42.5
3/6 279