跑馬地 · 2023-03-15 · 19:46
第 3場
2023-03-15跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Ferraris策騎、D J Hall訓練的MELBOURNE HALL勝出，贏出1/2。E RAINBOW獲得亞軍；ALL IS GOOD獲得季軍。2.2倍大熱門ALL IS GOOD跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MELBOURNE HALL B/XB 1.10.06 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 2 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | E RAINBOW TT K C Leung · C Fownes | K C Leung | C Fownes | 5 | 6.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | ALL IS GOOD B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 2.2 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | TELECOM SPEED K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 7 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | HAPPY GATHERING M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 8 | 18.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | CHEONG FAT H/PC M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 12 | 59.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY UNITED TT L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 11 | 90.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | FLAMING EAGLE PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 4 | 8.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | TRAVEL GOLF TT H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 10 | 8.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | SUPER EAGLE XB C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 3 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 4 | H Z TOURBILLON TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 6 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | CIRCUIT TEN H/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 9 | 29.0 | 4-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | ALL IS GOOD | 25.3% | 3.95 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | TELECOM SPEED | 15.9% | 6.28 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | E RAINBOW | 10.4% | 9.64 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | FLAMING EAGLE | 10.0% | 9.97 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | HAPPY GATHERING | 7.2% | 13.82 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | CIRCUIT TEN | 6.5% | 15.32 | 12 |
| 7 | 4 | H Z TOURBILLON | 5.9% | 17.08 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | SUPER EAGLE | 5.4% | 18.56 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | MELBOURNE HALL | 5.0% | 20.10 | 1 |
| 10 | 5 | HAPPY UNITED | 2.9% | 34.52 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | TRAVEL GOLF | 2.8% | 35.25 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | CHEONG FAT | 2.6% | 37.78 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 108
PLACE
8 20
9 26.5
10 12
QUINELLA
8,9 313.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 96.5
8,10 28.5
9,10 38
FORECAST
9,8 759
TIERCE
9,8,10 1,904
TRIO
8,9,10 164
FIRST 4
2,8,9,10 321
QUARTET
9,8,10,2 11,978
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,9/8,9,10 120,170
2ND DOUBLE
8/8 31
8/9 675
3 PICK 1
A3 28
A2 —
A1 —