跑馬地 · 2023-03-15 · 22:18
第 8場
2023-03-15跑馬地第8場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、L Ho訓練的WOOD ON FIRE勝出，贏出1-1/2。SMOKEY BEAR獲得亞軍；LORIZ獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門PACHISI跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | WOOD ON FIRE H/TT 1.09.75 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 1 | 4.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | SMOKEY BEAR B/XB/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 3 | 7.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | LORIZ B Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 12 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | PACHISI CP/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 8 | 2.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 10 | 6.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | ISLAND SURPRISE B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 6 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 11 | 21.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 4 | SEE U AGAIN C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 9 | 16.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | GOODMANSHIP B/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 7 | 40.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | YOO YOO KNIGHT B A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 4 | 77.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | GO GO GO TT1 C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 5 | 45.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | PLENTY PLENTY H1/TT1 H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 2 | 222.0 | 18-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 20.9% | 4.79 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | PACHISI | 20.3% | 4.93 | 4 |
| 3 | 10 | WOOD ON FIRE | 12.9% | 7.77 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | SEE U AGAIN | 10.0% | 10.01 | 8 |
| 5 | 8 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 8.2% | 12.13 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | RACING FIGHTER | 6.2% | 16.18 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | GO GO GO | 5.4% | 18.57 | 11 |
| 8 | 1 | SMOKEY BEAR | 5.2% | 19.23 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | LORIZ | 4.7% | 21.09 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | GOODMANSHIP | 3.6% | 28.04 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | YOO YOO KNIGHT | 1.9% | 53.41 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | PLENTY PLENTY | 0.8% | 130.12 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 49.5
PLACE
1 20
9 42
10 17
QUINELLA
1,10 148.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 138.5
1,10 54
9,10 105.5
FORECAST
10,1 319
TIERCE
10,1,9 3,018
TRIO
1,9,10 660
FIRST 4
1,5,9,10 407
QUARTET
10,1,9,5 11,761
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 17
A3 —
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
2/1 21
2/10 65.5