Happy Valley · 2023-03-15 · 22:18
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WOOD ON FIRE H/TT 1.09.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 1 | 4.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | SMOKEY BEAR B/XB/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 3 | 7.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | LORIZ B Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 12 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | PACHISI CP/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 8 | 2.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ISLAND SURPRISE B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 6 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 11 | 21.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | SEE U AGAIN C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 9 | 16.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | GOODMANSHIP B/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 7 | 40.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | YOO YOO KNIGHT B A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 4 | 77.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | PLENTY PLENTY H1/TT1 H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 2 | 222.0 | 18-1/4 |
| — | 0 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | — | 6.2 | 5-1/4 |
| — | 0 | GO GO GO TT1 C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | — | 45.0 | 10-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-15 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. WOOD ON FIRE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by L Ho, won by 1-1/2, with SMOKEY BEAR second and LORIZ third. The 2.5 favourite PACHISI finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 20.9% | 4.79 | — |
| 2 | 0 | PACHISI | 20.3% | 4.93 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | WOOD ON FIRE | 12.9% | 7.77 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SEE U AGAIN | 10.0% | 10.01 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 8.2% | 12.13 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | RACING FIGHTER | 6.2% | 16.18 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | GO GO GO | 5.4% | 18.57 | — |
| 8 | 0 | SMOKEY BEAR | 5.2% | 19.23 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | LORIZ | 4.7% | 21.09 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | GOODMANSHIP | 3.6% | 28.04 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | YOO YOO KNIGHT | 1.9% | 53.41 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | PLENTY PLENTY | 0.8% | 130.12 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 49.5
PLACE
1 20
9 42
10 17
QUINELLA
1,10 148.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 138.5
1,10 54
9,10 105.5
FORECAST
10,1 319
TIERCE
10,1,9 3,018
TRIO
1,9,10 660
FIRST 4
1,5,9,10 407
QUARTET
10,1,9,5 11,761
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 17
7TH DOUBLE
2/1 21
2/10 65.5