Happy Valley · 2023-03-15 · 21:16
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-15 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. VILLA FIONN, ridden by H Bowman and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with HOLY POWER second and ONE HEART ONE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite HOLY POWER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B 1.40.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 8 | 8.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | HOLY POWER Closed strongly B/XB/TT1 Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 3 | 3.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | ONE HEART ONE Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 12 | 8.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly H/PC/TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 1 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | HAPPY WON A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 2 | 9.8 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | RIVER VIEWS C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 5.1 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | LUCKY BANNER H/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 5 | 22.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR CP/XB A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 7 | 32.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | LEGION OF MERIT Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 11 | 13.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | SUPER BUDDY B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 4 | 60.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | IRON WILL H/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 6.2 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | MISSION BRAVO Led early B/H/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 9 | 97.0 | 10-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HOLY POWER | 23.7% | 4.22 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | RIVER VIEWS | 15.2% | 6.59 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | LEGION OF MERIT | 11.6% | 8.61 | 9 |
| 4 | 9 | IRON WILL | 10.0% | 10.02 | 11 |
| 5 | 2 | VILLA FIONN | 9.8% | 10.23 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | HAPPY WON | 8.9% | 11.18 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | ONE HEART ONE | 6.6% | 15.15 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | LUCKY BANNER | 4.6% | 21.60 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | SUPER BUDDY | 3.1% | 32.22 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 2.7% | 36.89 | 4 |
| 11 | 12 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 1.9% | 51.62 | 8 |
| 12 | 4 | MISSION BRAVO | 1.9% | 53.83 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 86.5
PLACE
1 15.5
2 26
10 32.5
QUINELLA
1,2 157
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 59.5
1,10 68
2,10 122.5
FORECAST
2,1 389
TIERCE
2,1,10 2,780
TRIO
1,2,10 407
FIRST 4
1,2,6,10 1,770
QUARTET
2,1,10,6 32,737
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 32
5TH DOUBLE
7/1 31
7/2 314