Happy Valley · 2023-03-15 · 20:16
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GANG OF BROTHERS Closed strongly CP/TT 1.40.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 2 | 11.0 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | SPLENDID LIVING Led early TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 11 | 5.5 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | BLISSFUL STAR Closed strongly V/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 1 | 6.8 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | TYCOON JEWELLERY Closed strongly H/XB/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 5 | 25.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 12 | 49.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | KILLER INSTINCT Closed strongly V-/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 6 | 4.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | CLASSIC ARCHI Closed strongly SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 44.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | YEABOI Closed strongly B C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 8 | 61.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE CP-/B2/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 27.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | LET'S DO IT CP Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 2.8 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | AMAZING BOY TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 10 | 24.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | COMMANDING MISSILE H/PC/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 3 | 21.0 | 7-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-15 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. GANG OF BROTHERS, ridden by A Badel and trained by P C Ng, won by HD, with SPLENDID LIVING second and BLISSFUL STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite LET'S DO IT finished 10th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KILLER INSTINCT | 18.7% | 5.34 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | LET'S DO IT | 18.3% | 5.46 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | BLISSFUL STAR | 13.9% | 7.18 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | GANG OF BROTHERS | 13.2% | 7.58 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | SPLENDID LIVING | 11.4% | 8.74 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | AMAZING BOY | 5.4% | 18.66 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 5.1% | 19.77 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | NOBLE STEED | 4.1% | 24.35 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | COMMANDING MISSILE | 3.5% | 28.61 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 3.5% | 28.76 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | TYCOON JEWELLERY | 1.8% | 56.67 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | YEABOI | 1.1% | 89.55 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 117.5
PLACE
3 20
5 20
8 29.5
QUINELLA
5,8 318.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 64.5
3,8 104.5
5,8 101.5
FORECAST
8,5 838
TIERCE
8,5,3 3,850
TRIO
3,5,8 573
FIRST 4
3,5,8,12 3,184
QUARTET
8,5,3,12 64,401
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 17
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
9/5 157
9/8 1,109.5