Happy Valley · 2023-03-15 · 22:53
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS Closed strongly V/TT 1.39.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 7 | 3.1 | N |
| 2 | 0 | LOYAL BABY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 40.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 11 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SECRET VISION Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 2 | 3.5 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SILVER HAMMER A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 3 | 8.9 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED Closed strongly E/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 4 | 30.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | STORM LEGEND Closed strongly H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 8 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | E LEGEND Led early Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 9 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | BEAUTY TURN SR1 A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 6 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | AMAZING ONE PLUS XB/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 1 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE B H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 5 | 56.0 | 5 |
| — | 0 | RISING FROM ASHES Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | — | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-15 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. NIMBLE NIMBUS, ridden by H Bowman and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with LOYAL BABY second and STAR CONTACT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SECRET VISION | 21.9% | 4.56 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 16.9% | 5.91 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | E LEGEND | 10.5% | 9.50 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | STAR CONTACT | 10.0% | 10.02 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | RISING FROM ASHES | 9.1% | 10.97 | — |
| 6 | 0 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 8.5% | 11.74 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | LOYAL BABY | 6.5% | 15.44 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | STORM LEGEND | 5.1% | 19.77 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | SILVER HAMMER | 3.9% | 25.71 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED | 3.1% | 32.17 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 2.8% | 35.77 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | BEAUTY TURN | 1.7% | 59.37 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 31.5
PLACE
2 14.5
5 84.5
6 34
QUINELLA
2,5 590
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 195
2,6 53.5
5,6 430.5
FORECAST
2,5 934
TIERCE
2,5,6 5,691
TRIO
2,5,6 1,175
FIRST 4
2,4,5,6 1,083
QUARTET
2,5,6,4 26,433
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 16.5
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,9,10/2,5,6 172,274
8TH DOUBLE
10/2 236
10/5 333
SIX UP
5,8/7,8/1,2/2,6/1,10/2,5 2,542
8/7/2/2/10/2 59,981
2 [P F Yiu] —
3 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
2/10/2 320
2/10/5 546