Happy Valley · 2023-03-15 · 19:16
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-15 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. RAGING BLAZE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by 1, with JACK WIN second and THE GOOD DEAL third. Victory came as the 3.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | RAGING BLAZE TT 1.09.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 7 | 3.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | JACK WIN B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | THE GOOD DEAL H-/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 8 | 9.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | HANDSOME GUYS E-/TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 2 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | U W BROTHER M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 3 | 5.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | GENERAL ACE CP/XB1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 31.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | INSPIRING CITY Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 7.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | M M JOHNNY B H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 10 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | EUROMISSILE B/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR XB C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 9.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | EVER FORCE B/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 5 | 18.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | ALLOY KING V H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 12 | 40.0 | 7-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | RAGING BLAZE | 19.6% | 5.11 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | INSPIRING CITY | 15.2% | 6.57 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | M M JOHNNY | 11.3% | 8.83 | 8 |
| 4 | 12 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR | 8.6% | 11.57 | 10 |
| 5 | 7 | EUROMISSILE | 8.4% | 11.96 | 9 |
| 6 | 11 | U W BROTHER | 7.7% | 12.95 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | ALLOY KING | 6.3% | 15.82 | 12 |
| 8 | 1 | EVER FORCE | 5.1% | 19.69 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | THE GOOD DEAL | 4.9% | 20.48 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | HANDSOME GUYS | 4.9% | 20.61 | 4 |
| 11 | 3 | GENERAL ACE | 4.6% | 21.95 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | JACK WIN | 3.5% | 28.58 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 35.5
PLACE
5 63.5
8 16.5
9 32
QUINELLA
5,8 423
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 127
5,9 348.5
8,9 81
FORECAST
8,5 1,324
TIERCE
8,5,9 7,002
TRIO
5,8,9 1,124
FIRST 4
5,8,9,10 3,772
QUARTET
8,5,9,10 60,088
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
12/5 224
12/8 135.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 23.5
A3 —