Happy Valley · 2023-03-15 · 18:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CABLE SPEED Closed strongly TT 1.49.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 4 | 3.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly V Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 9 | 7.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION Led early V-/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 2 | 4.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 8 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | JUBILATION V K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 3 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE Closed strongly M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 40.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE CP A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 6 | 30.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SMILING FACE B/SR/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 5 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | AI ONE H/TT C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 1 | 5.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLDEN FAIRY B/XB Y L Chung · A T Millard | Y L Chung | A T Millard | 7 | 61.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SMART COUSIN Closed strongly B A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 12 | 14.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BARON ZEE B/TT H Bentley · R Gibson | H Bentley | R Gibson | 10 | 42.0 | 9-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-03-15 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. CABLE SPEED, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C W Chang, won by 1-1/4, with DRAGON PRIDE second and LOYAL AMBITION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 24.5% | 4.08 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | DRAGON PRIDE | 12.6% | 7.93 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | AI ONE | 12.3% | 8.12 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | CABLE SPEED | 10.8% | 9.28 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | JUBILATION | 9.6% | 10.39 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | SMILING FACE | 8.8% | 11.39 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 5.3% | 18.70 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | SMART COUSIN | 5.0% | 20.18 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 3.8% | 25.99 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | BARON ZEE | 3.7% | 27.27 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE | 2.4% | 41.81 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 1.2% | 83.49 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 34.5
PLACE
2 26.5
7 17.5
12 16
QUINELLA
2,12 185
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 67
2,12 70
7,12 36
FORECAST
12,2 321
TIERCE
12,2,7 1,153
TRIO
2,7,12 201
FIRST 4
2,5,7,12 477
QUARTET
12,2,7,5 8,178
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 23.5
A2 —