跑馬地 · 2023-03-15 · 20:46
第 5場
2023-03-15跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、C S Shum訓練的G ONE EXCELLENT勝出，贏出1。HEARTY WISH獲得亞軍；SERGEANT PEPPER獲得季軍。頭馬以3.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | G ONE EXCELLENT B/TT 0.56.99 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 9 | 3.2 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | HEARTY WISH B/SR/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 7 | 20.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | SERGEANT PEPPER M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | VAMOS H2 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 3 | 6.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | DIAMOND SOARS H/P/TT Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 10 | 6.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | FARIBAULT B H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 1 | 5.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | FINGERS CROSSED H1/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 11 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | LIFE IS GOOD H/XB/TT V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 12 | 128.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | HANDSOME REBEL B/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 5 | 8.7 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | HAPPY HORSE H-/B1/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 4 | 26.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | CHEER FOR SOUTH K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | DASHING GLORY SR1/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 2 | 106.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 25.9% | 3.85 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | DIAMOND SOARS | 20.2% | 4.95 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | FARIBAULT | 11.5% | 8.72 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | VAMOS | 9.4% | 10.62 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | HEARTY WISH | 8.9% | 11.26 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | HANDSOME REBEL | 8.0% | 12.54 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 5.6% | 18.00 | 11 |
| 8 | 12 | FINGERS CROSSED | 4.9% | 20.31 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 3.5% | 28.39 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | DASHING GLORY | 0.8% | 132.55 | 12 |
| 11 | 1 | LIFE IS GOOD | 0.7% | 137.07 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | HAPPY HORSE | 0.6% | 159.88 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 32
PLACE
3 43.5
7 15
8 46
QUINELLA
7,8 231.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 101
3,8 357
7,8 77.5
FORECAST
7,8 319
TIERCE
7,8,3 4,725
TRIO
3,7,8 1,165
FIRST 4
3,7,8,11 1,254
QUARTET
7,8,3,11 26,373
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,8/3,7,8 51,271
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 23.5
4TH DOUBLE
8/7 498
8/8 307