沙田 · 2023-03-26 · 13:17
第 2場
2023-03-26沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、T P Yung訓練的DRAGON PRIDE勝出，贏出1/2。HANG'S CHOICE獲得亞軍；OVER THE MOON獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DRAGON PRIDE 後段發力 V 1.36.47 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 14 | 3.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | HANG'S CHOICE 後段發力 B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 1 | 8.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | OVER THE MOON 後段發力 B/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 7 | 5.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | ANGELS HUNTER B-/V1 M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 11 | 74.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | SUPERB DADDY 後段發力 TT S De Sousa · Y S Tsui | S De Sousa | Y S Tsui | 3 | 6.5 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | YOUNG SPARKLE 後段發力 L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 4 | 27.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | VUKAN B-/XB/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 13 | 7.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | SPLENDID STAR 後段發力 M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 9 | 88.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | FOXHUNTER WAY C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS 後段發力 V K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 10 | 11.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | SO YOU TRUST E1/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 39.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | DOUBLE SHOW B/SR/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 8 | 16.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | MISTER MONTE CP H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 2 | 32.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 14 | 2 | JUST GREAT TWO 早段領放 B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 72.0 | 15-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SUPERB DADDY | 14.4% | 6.96 | 5 |
| 2 | 11 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 12.2% | 8.18 | 9 |
| 3 | 3 | OVER THE MOON | 11.3% | 8.87 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | HANG'S CHOICE | 10.9% | 9.17 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | DRAGON PRIDE | 10.2% | 9.78 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | YOUNG SPARKLE | 8.0% | 12.53 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 6.6% | 15.04 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | DOUBLE SHOW | 6.6% | 15.06 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | VUKAN | 6.2% | 16.01 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | SO YOU TRUST | 4.4% | 22.78 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | ANGELS HUNTER | 4.1% | 24.63 | 4 |
| 12 | 14 | SPLENDID STAR | 1.9% | 51.72 | 8 |
| 13 | 2 | JUST GREAT TWO | 1.6% | 60.90 | 14 |
| 14 | 13 | MISTER MONTE | 1.5% | 68.79 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 38.5
PLACE
1 16.5
3 21.5
12 23
QUINELLA
1,12 173
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 42
1,12 69
3,12 78.5
FORECAST
1,12 323
TIERCE
1,12,3 1,698
TRIO
1,3,12 306
FIRST 4
1,3,10,12 4,900
QUARTET
1,12,3,10 60,155
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE
8/1 335
8/12 75.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
7,8,9/1,3,12 14,110
3 PICK 1
A2 17
A3 —
A1 —