沙田 · 2023-03-26 · 16:43
第 8場
2023-03-26沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、W Y So訓練的FLYING HIGH勝出，贏出N。CHEVAL VALIANT獲得亞軍；METRO WARRIOR獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門SEASONS WIT跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | FLYING HIGH TT 0.56.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 10 | 12.0 | N |
| 2 | 9 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/H/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 2 | 4.2 | N |
| 3 | 2 | METRO WARRIOR B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 11 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | SEASONS WIT B1/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 9 | 3.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 13 | 6.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | RUN RUN COOL PC H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 8 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 14 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | NICCONI COUNTY TT S De Sousa · C Fownes | S De Sousa | C Fownes | 12 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 6 | 29.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | FLYING DRAGON B H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 7 | 47.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | READY TO WIN XB/TT L Currie · F C Lor | L Currie | F C Lor | 5 | 58.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | SILVER SONIC TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 87.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | TALENTS SUPREMO XB K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 4 | 13.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | NAMJONG SINGS B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 61.0 | 22-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SEASONS WIT | 23.4% | 4.27 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 15.9% | 6.27 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | RUN RUN COOL | 10.8% | 9.29 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 6.8% | 14.70 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | FLYING HIGH | 5.5% | 18.18 | 1 |
| 6 | 14 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 5.3% | 18.72 | 13 |
| 7 | 5 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 5.1% | 19.60 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | NICCONI COUNTY | 4.8% | 20.92 | 8 |
| 9 | 12 | SILVER SONIC | 4.8% | 20.99 | 12 |
| 10 | 13 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 4.3% | 23.20 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | METRO WARRIOR | 4.1% | 24.11 | 3 |
| 12 | 7 | NAMJONG SINGS | 3.8% | 26.01 | 14 |
| 13 | 6 | FLYING DRAGON | 2.7% | 36.66 | 10 |
| 14 | 10 | READY TO WIN | 2.5% | 39.33 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 123.5
PLACE
2 41.5
9 19
11 30
QUINELLA
9,11 248
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 118
2,11 200
9,11 93.5
FORECAST
11,9 569
TIERCE
11,9,2 7,661
TRIO
2,9,11 1,433
FIRST 4
2,8,9,11 819
QUARTET
11,9,2,8 32,951
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 25.5
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,10/2,9,11 78,430
7TH DOUBLE
10/9 23.5
10/11 380.5