Sha Tin · 2023-03-26 · 13:17
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-26 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. DRAGON PRIDE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by 1/2, with HANG'S CHOICE second and OVER THE MOON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly V 1.36.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 14 | 3.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | HANG'S CHOICE Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 1 | 8.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | OVER THE MOON Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 7 | 5.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | ANGELS HUNTER B-/V1 M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 11 | 74.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 4 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT S De Sousa · Y S Tsui | S De Sousa | Y S Tsui | 3 | 6.5 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | YOUNG SPARKLE Closed strongly L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 4 | 27.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | VUKAN B-/XB/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 13 | 7.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | SPLENDID STAR Closed strongly M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 9 | 88.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | FOXHUNTER WAY C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly V K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 10 | 11.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | SO YOU TRUST E1/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 39.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | DOUBLE SHOW B/SR/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 8 | 16.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | MISTER MONTE CP H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 2 | 32.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 14 | 2 | JUST GREAT TWO Led early B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 72.0 | 15-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SUPERB DADDY | 14.4% | 6.96 | 5 |
| 2 | 11 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 12.2% | 8.18 | 9 |
| 3 | 3 | OVER THE MOON | 11.3% | 8.87 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | HANG'S CHOICE | 10.9% | 9.17 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | DRAGON PRIDE | 10.2% | 9.78 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | YOUNG SPARKLE | 8.0% | 12.53 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 6.6% | 15.04 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | DOUBLE SHOW | 6.6% | 15.06 | 12 |
| 9 | 9 | VUKAN | 6.2% | 16.01 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | SO YOU TRUST | 4.4% | 22.78 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | ANGELS HUNTER | 4.1% | 24.63 | 4 |
| 12 | 14 | SPLENDID STAR | 1.9% | 51.72 | 8 |
| 13 | 2 | JUST GREAT TWO | 1.6% | 60.90 | 14 |
| 14 | 13 | MISTER MONTE | 1.5% | 68.79 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 38.5
PLACE
1 16.5
3 21.5
12 23
QUINELLA
1,12 173
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 42
1,12 69
3,12 78.5
FORECAST
1,12 323
TIERCE
1,12,3 1,698
TRIO
1,3,12 306
FIRST 4
1,3,10,12 4,900
QUARTET
1,12,3,10 60,155
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE
8/1 335
8/12 75.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
7,8,9/1,3,12 14,110
3 PICK 1
A2 17
A3 —
A1 —