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Sha Tin · 2023-03-26 · 13:17

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1600m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.36.47
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly V 1.36.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung 14 3.8 1/2
2 0 HANG'S CHOICE Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So 1 8.1 1/2
3 0 OVER THE MOON Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · C Fownes 7 5.2 1-1/2
4 0 ANGELS HUNTER B-/V1 M F Poon · K L Man 11 74.0 2
5 0 SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT S De Sousa · Y S Tsui 3 6.5 2
6 0 YOUNG SPARKLE Closed strongly L Hewitson · A T Millard 4 27.0 2-1/2
7 0 VUKAN B-/XB/TT K C Leung · J Richards 13 7.1 3-3/4
8 0 SPLENDID STAR Closed strongly M L Yeung · L Ho 9 88.0 4
9 0 FOXHUNTER WAY C Y Ho · K W Lui 5 15.0 4
10 0 MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly V K Teetan · C H Yip 10 11.0 9
11 0 SO YOU TRUST E1/TT A Badel · J Size 12 39.0 9-3/4
12 0 DOUBLE SHOW B/SR/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte 8 16.0 10-1/2
13 0 MISTER MONTE CP H T Mo · C W Chang 2 32.0 14-1/4
14 0 JUST GREAT TWO Led early B L Ferraris · D J Hall 6 72.0 15-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-26 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. DRAGON PRIDE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by 1/2, with HANG'S CHOICE second and OVER THE MOON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.8 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DRAGON PRIDE—2. HANG'S CHOICE+0.5L3. OVER THE MOON+1.5L4. ANGELS HUNTER+2L5. SUPERB DADDY+2L6. YOUNG SPARKLE+2.5L7. VUKAN+3.75L8. SPLENDID STAR+4L9. FOXHUNTER WAY+4L10. MURRAY'S PARTNERS+9L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick SUPERB DADDY (14.4%) finished 5th — the winner DRAGON PRIDE was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SUPERB DADDY 14.4% 6.96 5
2 0 FOXHUNTER WAY 12.2% 8.18 9
3 0 OVER THE MOON 11.3% 8.87 3
4 0 HANG'S CHOICE 10.9% 9.17 2
5 0 DRAGON PRIDE 10.2% 9.78 1
6 0 YOUNG SPARKLE 8.0% 12.53 6
7 0 MURRAY'S PARTNERS 6.6% 15.04 10
8 0 DOUBLE SHOW 6.6% 15.06 12
9 0 VUKAN 6.2% 16.01 7
10 0 SO YOU TRUST 4.4% 22.78 11
11 0 ANGELS HUNTER 4.1% 24.63 4
12 0 SPLENDID STAR 1.9% 51.72 8
13 0 JUST GREAT TWO 1.6% 60.90 14
14 0 MISTER MONTE 1.5% 68.79 13
SUPERB DADDYFOXHUNTER WAYOVER THE MOONHANG'S CHOICEDRAGON PRIDE — wonYOUNG SPARKLEMURRAY'S PARTNERSDOUBLE SHOWVUKANSO YOU TRUSTANGELS HUNTERSPLENDID STARJUST GREAT TWOMISTER MONTE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 38.5

PLACE

1 16.5

3 21.5

12 23

QUINELLA

1,12 173

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 42

1,12 69

3,12 78.5

FORECAST

1,12 323

TIERCE

1,12,3 1,698

TRIO

1,3,12 306

FIRST 4

1,3,10,12 4,900

QUARTET

1,12,3,10 60,155

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE

8/1 335

8/12 75.5

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

7,8,9/1,3,12 14,110

3 PICK 1

A2 17

A1 —

A3 —