Sha Tin · 2023-03-26 · 15:41
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-26 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. FOREVER FOLKS, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by C W Chang, won by 3/4, with OWNERS' PRAISE second and DRAGON DELIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite OWNERS' PRAISE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B 1.36.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 3 | 41.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | OWNERS' PRAISE Closed strongly Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 1 | 1.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | DRAGON DELIGHT Closed strongly CP1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 7 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | CLASSIC ARCHI Closed strongly SR/TT V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 8 | 55.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | THUNDERBOLTAURUS Closed strongly TT1 H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 10 | 7.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP/XB M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 11 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | OSCAR GLORY B-/V2 L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 2 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | DARCI JOY B/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 4 | 5.3 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | FLASH FAMOUS B/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 6 | 65.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | EIGHTEEN PALMS CP C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 5 | 7.7 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | SMART BEAUTY Led early B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 137.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 8 | INDIGENOUS REALM M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 25.9% | 3.85 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | EIGHTEEN PALMS | 21.5% | 4.66 | 10 |
| 3 | 1 | DARCI JOY | 15.3% | 6.53 | 8 |
| 4 | 5 | THUNDERBOLTAURUS | 15.1% | 6.64 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 6.7% | 14.98 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 4.4% | 22.57 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | FLASH FAMOUS | 3.8% | 26.58 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | OSCAR GLORY | 2.8% | 35.92 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 2.0% | 51.00 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | FOREVER FOLKS | 1.7% | 57.88 | 1 |
| 11 | 12 | SMART BEAUTY | 0.9% | 116.51 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 412.5
PLACE
2 11
3 42
9 77
QUINELLA
2,9 344
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 73.5
2,9 121
3,9 513
FORECAST
9,2 1,565
TIERCE
9,2,3 15,061
TRIO
2,3,9 2,062
FIRST 4
2,3,9,10 7,881
QUARTET
9,2,3,10 333,667
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 56.5
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,8/3,9>2,8 40,142
5TH DOUBLE
8/2,8 22
8/9 1,364
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,6/1,5,8/Any Combination 1,920