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Sha Tin · 2023-03-26 · 15:41

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1600m Course C+3 10 runners

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
2 0 OWNERS' PRAISE Closed strongly Z Purton · W Y So 1 1.9 3/4
3 0 DRAGON DELIGHT Closed strongly CP1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes 7 24.0 2-1/2
4 0 CLASSIC ARCHI Closed strongly SR/TT V Borges · D J Whyte 8 55.0 2-1/2
5 0 THUNDERBOLTAURUS Closed strongly TT1 H Bowman · D J Hall 10 7.1 2-3/4
6 0 TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP/XB M Chadwick · P C Ng 11 17.0 3
7 0 OSCAR GLORY B-/V2 L Ferraris · F C Lor 2 14.0 3-1/4
8 0 DARCI JOY B/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu 4 5.3 6
9 0 FLASH FAMOUS B/TT C Wong · C H Yip 6 65.0 6
10 0 SMART BEAUTY Led early B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 9 137.0 8-3/4
10 0 EIGHTEEN PALMS CP C Y Ho · C S Shum 5 7.7 8-3/4
— 0 INDIGENOUS REALM M F Poon · K L Man — — —
— 0 FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B A Hamelin · C W Chang — 41.0 3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-26 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. OWNERS' PRAISE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by 3/4, with DRAGON DELIGHT second and CLASSIC ARCHI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
2. OWNERS' PRAISE+0.75L3. DRAGON DELIGHT+2.5L4. CLASSIC ARCHI+2.5L5. THUNDERBOLTAURUS+2.75L6. TURQUOISE ALPHA+3L7. OSCAR GLORY+3.25L8. DARCI JOY+6L9. FLASH FAMOUS+6L10. SMART BEAUTY+8.75L10. EIGHTEEN PALMS+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 OWNERS' PRAISE 25.9% 3.85 2
2 0 EIGHTEEN PALMS 21.5% 4.66 10
3 0 DARCI JOY 15.3% 6.53 8
4 0 THUNDERBOLTAURUS 15.1% 6.64 5
5 0 DRAGON DELIGHT 6.7% 14.98 3
6 0 TURQUOISE ALPHA 4.4% 22.57 6
7 0 FLASH FAMOUS 3.8% 26.58 9
8 0 OSCAR GLORY 2.8% 35.92 7
9 0 CLASSIC ARCHI 2.0% 51.00 4
10 0 FOREVER FOLKS 1.7% 57.88 —
11 0 SMART BEAUTY 0.9% 116.51 10
OWNERS' PRAISEEIGHTEEN PALMSDARCI JOYTHUNDERBOLTAURUSDRAGON DELIGHTTURQUOISE ALPHAFLASH FAMOUSOSCAR GLORYCLASSIC ARCHIFOREVER FOLKSSMART BEAUTY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 412.5

PLACE

2 11

3 42

9 77

QUINELLA

2,9 344

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 73.5

2,9 121

3,9 513

FORECAST

9,2 1,565

TIERCE

9,2,3 15,061

TRIO

2,3,9 2,062

FIRST 4

2,3,9,10 7,881

QUARTET

9,2,3,10 333,667

All pools (4 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 56.5

A2 —

A1 —

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,5,8/3,9>2,8 40,142

5TH DOUBLE

8/2,8 22

8/9 1,364

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,2,6/1,5,8/Any Combination 1,920