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Sha Tin · 2023-03-26 · 17:53

Race 10

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course C+3 11 runners

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
2 0 SOLID IMPACT H Bowman · D J Hall 6 4.5 HD
3 0 UNIVERSAL HORIZON Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui 5 4.5 1
4 0 HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · L Ho 4 15.0 1-1/2
6 0 ERIMO Closed strongly B K C Leung · J Size 11 22.0 3-3/4
7 0 CIRCUIT MIGHTY TT S De Sousa · K L Man 9 12.0 4
8 0 GOLDEN LINK Closed strongly K Teetan · P F Yiu 12 13.0 5
9 0 MASTER HERO XB/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 1 14.0 6-1/4
10 0 KING'S CAPITAL Closed strongly B M F Poon · D A Hayes 2 30.0 7-3/4
11 0 PARTERRE H Bentley · A T Millard 7 27.0 8
12 0 JUMBO LEGEND V-/H/PC1/TT A Badel · C Fownes 3 7.4 8-1/2
13 0 EXCELLENT DADDY TT V Borges · T P Yung 8 76.0 21-1/4
— 0 BEAUTY MISSILE B Z Purton · F C Lor — 5.4 3-1/4
— 0 DROMBEG BANNER Led early Y L Chung · P C Ng — 28.0 HD

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-26 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SOLID IMPACT, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Hall, won by HD, with UNIVERSAL HORIZON second and HAPPY DAILY third. Victory came as the 4.5 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
2. SOLID IMPACT+0.2L3. UNIVERSAL HORIZON+1L4. HAPPY DAILY+1.5L6. ERIMO+3.75L7. CIRCUIT MIGHTY+4L8. GOLDEN LINK+5L9. MASTER HERO+6.25L10. KING'S CAPITAL+7.75L11. PARTERRE+8L12. JUMBO LEGEND+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 UNIVERSAL HORIZON 22.9% 4.37 3
2 0 BEAUTY MISSILE 14.7% 6.80 —
3 0 SOLID IMPACT 12.4% 8.06 2
4 0 JUMBO LEGEND 9.6% 10.40 12
5 0 MASTER HERO 6.3% 15.76 9
6 0 CIRCUIT MIGHTY 5.9% 16.81 7
7 0 GOLDEN LINK 5.5% 18.10 8
8 0 HAPPY DAILY 4.9% 20.60 4
9 0 PARTERRE 4.8% 20.64 11
10 0 ERIMO 4.5% 22.15 6
11 0 DROMBEG BANNER 3.7% 27.16 —
12 0 KING'S CAPITAL 3.5% 28.56 10
13 0 EXCELLENT DADDY 1.2% 85.93 13
UNIVERSAL HORIZONBEAUTY MISSILESOLID IMPACTJUMBO LEGENDMASTER HEROCIRCUIT MIGHTYGOLDEN LINKHAPPY DAILYPARTERREERIMODROMBEG BANNERKING'S CAPITALEXCELLENT DADDY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 288.5

PLACE

2 69.5

3 19.5

12 17

QUINELLA

2,3 655.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 208

2,12 191

3,12 43

FORECAST

2,3 1,837

TIERCE

2,3,12 10,186

TRIO

2,3,12 811

FIRST 4

2,3,5,12 1,988

QUARTET

2,3,12,5 69,759

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 —

A3 19

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,6,11/2,3,12 346,743

9TH DOUBLE

6/2 445.5

6/3 24.5

SIX UP

1,8/2,8,9/6,10/9,11/6,11/2,3 2,368

8/9/10/11/6/2 1,693,051

9 [C W Chang] —

2 [H Bowman] —

TREBLE

11/6/2 6,650

11/6/3 386