Sha Tin · 2023-03-26 · 17:53
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-26 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. DROMBEG BANNER, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by P C Ng, won by HD, with SOLID IMPACT second and UNIVERSAL HORIZON third. The winner led throughout. The 4.5 favourite SOLID IMPACT finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | DROMBEG BANNER Wire to wire 1.22.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 10 | 28.0 | HD |
| 2 | 3 | SOLID IMPACT H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 6 | 4.5 | HD |
| 3 | 12 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 4.5 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · L Ho | A Hamelin | L Ho | 4 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | BEAUTY MISSILE B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 13 | 5.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | ERIMO Closed strongly B K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 11 | 22.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 9 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | GOLDEN LINK Closed strongly K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 12 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | MASTER HERO XB/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | KING'S CAPITAL Closed strongly B M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 2 | 30.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | PARTERRE H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 7 | 27.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | JUMBO LEGEND V-/H/PC1/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 3 | 7.4 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | EXCELLENT DADDY TT V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 8 | 76.0 | 21-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 22.9% | 4.37 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 14.7% | 6.80 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | SOLID IMPACT | 12.4% | 8.06 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | JUMBO LEGEND | 9.6% | 10.40 | 12 |
| 5 | 10 | MASTER HERO | 6.3% | 15.76 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 5.9% | 16.81 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | GOLDEN LINK | 5.5% | 18.10 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | HAPPY DAILY | 4.9% | 20.60 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | PARTERRE | 4.8% | 20.64 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | ERIMO | 4.5% | 22.15 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | DROMBEG BANNER | 3.7% | 27.16 | 1 |
| 12 | 13 | KING'S CAPITAL | 3.5% | 28.56 | 10 |
| 13 | 9 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 1.2% | 85.93 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 288.5
PLACE
2 69.5
3 19.5
12 17
QUINELLA
2,3 655.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 208
2,12 191
3,12 43
FORECAST
2,3 1,837
TIERCE
2,3,12 10,186
TRIO
2,3,12 811
FIRST 4
2,3,5,12 1,988
QUARTET
2,3,12,5 69,759
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 19
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,11/2,3,12 346,743
9TH DOUBLE
6/2 445.5
6/3 24.5
SIX UP
1,8/2,8,9/6,10/9,11/6,11/2,3 2,368
8/9/10/11/6/2 1,693,051
9 [C W Chang] —
2 [H Bowman] —
TREBLE
11/6/2 6,650
11/6/3 386