Sha Tin · 2023-03-26 · 16:11
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-26 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. EXCELLENT FIGHTER, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1, with MARK THE MOMENT second and VICTORY MOMENTS third. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER TT 1.09.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 6 | 2.1 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | MARK THE MOMENT V/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 2 | 5.1 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | VICTORY MOMENTS SR/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 27.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | ROMAN TURBO B-/XB K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 8 | 35.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | BEAUTY INSPIRE Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 7.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | SUPERB BOY TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 11 | 44.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | ACE ONE B/TT R Maia · D J Whyte | R Maia | D J Whyte | 9 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 6.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | WINGS OF WAR CP K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 1 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | TIGER LEGEND TT L Ferraris · J Richards | L Ferraris | J Richards | 5 | 76.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | CLASSIC UNICORN P/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 7 | 55.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | SETANTA B/TT M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 4 | 28.0 | 9-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER | 33.8% | 2.96 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | BEAUTY INSPIRE | 16.7% | 6.00 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | ACE ONE | 9.5% | 10.51 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | MARK THE MOMENT | 8.7% | 11.45 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | VICTORY MOMENTS | 7.2% | 13.98 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | SUPERB BOY | 4.6% | 21.91 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | ROMAN TURBO | 4.1% | 24.55 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | SETANTA | 3.6% | 27.47 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | COLOURFUL EMPEROR | 3.6% | 28.10 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | WINGS OF WAR | 2.9% | 34.31 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 2.9% | 34.34 | 11 |
| 12 | 3 | TIGER LEGEND | 2.5% | 40.44 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 21.5
PLACE
6 16.5
9 52
10 12.5
QUINELLA
6,10 57
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 167.5
6,10 24.5
9,10 93
FORECAST
10,6 83
TIERCE
10,6,9 1,337
TRIO
6,9,10 374
FIRST 4
6,9,10,12 1,602
QUARTET
10,6,9,12 13,419
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 16
A2 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
9/6 296
9/10 1,736.5