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Sha Tin · 2023-03-26 · 16:11

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course C+3 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.56
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 EXCELLENT FIGHTER TT 1.09.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · P F Yiu 6 2.1 1
2 0 MARK THE MOMENT V/TT A Badel · P C Ng 2 5.1 1
3 0 VICTORY MOMENTS SR/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor 10 27.0 1
4 0 ROMAN TURBO B-/XB K H Chan · D J Hall 8 35.0 1-3/4
5 0 BEAUTY INSPIRE Z Purton · J Size 12 7.1 2-1/4
6 0 SUPERB BOY TT L Hewitson · K W Lui 11 44.0 2-3/4
7 0 ACE ONE B/TT R Maia · D J Whyte 9 25.0 3-1/4
8 0 COLOURFUL EMPEROR TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz 3 6.0 3-1/4
9 0 WINGS OF WAR CP K Teetan · A T Millard 1 18.0 4-1/2
10 0 TIGER LEGEND TT L Ferraris · J Richards 5 76.0 5-1/2
11 0 CLASSIC UNICORN P/TT C Y Ho · W Y So 7 55.0 7-1/2
— 0 SETANTA B/TT M F Poon · D A Hayes — 28.0 9-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-26 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. EXCELLENT FIGHTER, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1, with MARK THE MOMENT second and VICTORY MOMENTS third. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. EXCELLENT FIGHTER—2. MARK THE MOMENT+1L3. VICTORY MOMENTS+1L4. ROMAN TURBO+1.75L5. BEAUTY INSPIRE+2.25L6. SUPERB BOY+2.75L7. ACE ONE+3.25L8. COLOURFUL EMPEROR+3.25L9. WINGS OF WAR+4.5L10. TIGER LEGEND+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick EXCELLENT FIGHTER (33.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 EXCELLENT FIGHTER 33.8% 2.96 1
2 0 BEAUTY INSPIRE 16.7% 6.00 5
3 0 ACE ONE 9.5% 10.51 7
4 0 MARK THE MOMENT 8.7% 11.45 2
5 0 VICTORY MOMENTS 7.2% 13.98 3
6 0 SUPERB BOY 4.6% 21.91 6
7 0 ROMAN TURBO 4.1% 24.55 4
8 0 SETANTA 3.6% 27.47 —
9 0 COLOURFUL EMPEROR 3.6% 28.10 8
10 0 WINGS OF WAR 2.9% 34.31 9
11 0 CLASSIC UNICORN 2.9% 34.34 11
12 0 TIGER LEGEND 2.5% 40.44 10
EXCELLENT FIGHTER — wonBEAUTY INSPIREACE ONEMARK THE MOMENTVICTORY MOMENTSSUPERB BOYROMAN TURBOSETANTACOLOURFUL EMPERORWINGS OF WARCLASSIC UNICORNTIGER LEGEND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 21.5

PLACE

6 16.5

9 52

10 12.5

QUINELLA

6,10 57

QUINELLA PLACE

6,9 167.5

6,10 24.5

9,10 93

FORECAST

10,6 83

TIERCE

10,6,9 1,337

TRIO

6,9,10 374

FIRST 4

6,9,10,12 1,602

QUARTET

10,6,9,12 13,419

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 16

6TH DOUBLE

9/6 296

9/10 1,736.5