Sha Tin · 2023-03-26 · 12:46
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-26 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SIGHT HERO, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/2, with HONG KONG HALL second and FIGHTING STAR third. The 2.7 favourite COLONEL finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SIGHT HERO B/TT 1.09.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | HONG KONG HALL TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 5.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | FIGHTING STAR B A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 4 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | COLONEL V S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 1 | 2.7 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | CLASSIC MOON CP/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | GOLDEN LUCK XB/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 21.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | LUCKY ETERNITY H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 9 | 72.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | BEAT HOLLOW K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 12 | 22.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | DIAMOND FOREVER C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 51.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | HAPPY SOUL CP/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 8 | 10.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | FUN TOGETHER TT L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 11 | 17.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | CAMINO K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 5 | 39.0 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 0 | YOO YOO KNIGHT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HONG KONG HALL | 20.0% | 5.01 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | COLONEL | 15.0% | 6.68 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | HAPPY SOUL | 12.9% | 7.75 | 10 |
| 4 | 8 | SIGHT HERO | 10.5% | 9.49 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | CAMINO | 9.7% | 10.34 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 | FIGHTING STAR | 6.8% | 14.81 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | GOLDEN LUCK | 6.7% | 14.83 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | FUN TOGETHER | 5.4% | 18.68 | 11 |
| 9 | 1 | CLASSIC MOON | 4.8% | 20.81 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | BEAT HOLLOW | 4.2% | 23.55 | 8 |
| 11 | 12 | LUCKY ETERNITY | 2.5% | 39.68 | 7 |
| 12 | 5 | DIAMOND FOREVER | 1.5% | 65.47 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 53
PLACE
7 21.5
8 19.5
9 29
QUINELLA
7,8 174.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 59.5
7,9 116.5
8,9 110
FORECAST
8,7 312
TIERCE
8,7,9 2,861
TRIO
7,8,9 601
FIRST 4
7,8,9,11 329
QUARTET
8,7,9,11 8,691
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 27
A2 —