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Sha Tin · 2023-03-26 · 17:17

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1600m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.84
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 CHING Closed strongly 1.35.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · C W Chang 4 2.2 N
2 0 PEGASUS HERO Closed strongly V Borges · Y S Tsui 1 184.0 N
3 0 SINBA Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · J Richards 9 9.3 1-1/2
4 0 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly TT Z Purton · R Gibson 3 2.5 2-1/4
5 0 THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 8 15.0 3-1/2
6 0 CELTIC TIMES Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · K H Ting 11 24.0 3-3/4
7 0 SUPER OASIS B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 14 76.0 4-3/4
8 0 ENTRUSTED Closed strongly CP/TT S De Sousa · W Y So 12 43.0 5-1/2
9 0 SUPER BABY CP R Maia · P F Yiu 2 55.0 5-1/2
10 0 THE EQUALIZER TT M Chadwick · K W Lui 13 115.0 6
11 0 PACKING HURRICANE TT K Teetan · C Fownes 6 55.0 6-3/4
12 0 ATOMIC BEAUTY TT A Badel · A S Cruz 7 138.0 7-1/2
13 0 MASSIVE ACTION Led early SR/V K C Leung · F C Lor 10 25.0 8-3/4
14 0 LEADING FORTUNE PC-/B2 L Currie · J Size 5 32.0 8-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-26 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CHING, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by C W Chang, won by N, with PEGASUS HERO second and SINBA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CHING—2. PEGASUS HERO+0.05L3. SINBA+1.5L4. HAPPY TOGETHER+2.25L5. THE BEST PEACH+3.5L6. CELTIC TIMES+3.75L7. SUPER OASIS+4.75L8. ENTRUSTED+5.5L9. SUPER BABY+5.5L10. THE EQUALIZER+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick CHING (29.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 CHING 29.8% 3.35 1
2 0 HAPPY TOGETHER 20.6% 4.87 4
3 0 SINBA 11.5% 8.67 3
4 0 CELTIC TIMES 7.7% 13.01 6
5 0 MASSIVE ACTION 7.0% 14.25 13
6 0 SUPER BABY 5.1% 19.58 9
7 0 THE BEST PEACH 3.9% 25.76 5
8 0 PACKING HURRICANE 3.6% 28.04 11
9 0 ENTRUSTED 3.2% 30.80 8
10 0 LEADING FORTUNE 3.0% 33.88 14
11 0 SUPER OASIS 2.0% 49.31 7
12 0 ATOMIC BEAUTY 0.9% 105.81 12
13 0 PEGASUS HERO 0.9% 115.68 2
14 0 THE EQUALIZER 0.8% 130.64 10
CHING — wonHAPPY TOGETHERSINBACELTIC TIMESMASSIVE ACTIONSUPER BABYTHE BEST PEACHPACKING HURRICANEENTRUSTEDLEADING FORTUNESUPER OASISATOMIC BEAUTYPEGASUS HEROTHE EQUALIZER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 22.5

PLACE

1 21.5

6 11.5

11 294.5

QUINELLA

6,11 2,602.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 34

1,11 2,175.5

6,11 796.5

FORECAST

6,11 2,064

TIERCE

6,11,1 25,415

TRIO

1,6,11 6,287

FIRST 4

1,4,6,11 1,732

QUARTET

6,11,1,4 64,941

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 12

8TH DOUBLE

11/6 326

11/11 2,773