Sha Tin · 2023-03-26 · 17:17
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-26 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CHING, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by C W Chang, won by N, with PEGASUS HERO second and SINBA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CHING Closed strongly 1.35.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 4 | 2.2 | N |
| 2 | 11 | PEGASUS HERO Closed strongly V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 1 | 184.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | SINBA Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 9 | 9.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly TT Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 3 | 2.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 8 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | CELTIC TIMES Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 11 | 24.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | SUPER OASIS B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 14 | 76.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | ENTRUSTED Closed strongly CP/TT S De Sousa · W Y So | S De Sousa | W Y So | 12 | 43.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | SUPER BABY CP R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 2 | 55.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | THE EQUALIZER TT M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 13 | 115.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 14 | PACKING HURRICANE TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 6 | 55.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | ATOMIC BEAUTY TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 7 | 138.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | MASSIVE ACTION Led early SR/V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 25.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 2 | LEADING FORTUNE PC-/B2 L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 5 | 32.0 | 8-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CHING | 29.8% | 3.35 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 20.6% | 4.87 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | SINBA | 11.5% | 8.67 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | CELTIC TIMES | 7.7% | 13.01 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | MASSIVE ACTION | 7.0% | 14.25 | 13 |
| 6 | 12 | SUPER BABY | 5.1% | 19.58 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | THE BEST PEACH | 3.9% | 25.76 | 5 |
| 8 | 14 | PACKING HURRICANE | 3.6% | 28.04 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | ENTRUSTED | 3.2% | 30.80 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | LEADING FORTUNE | 3.0% | 33.88 | 14 |
| 11 | 10 | SUPER OASIS | 2.0% | 49.31 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 0.9% | 105.81 | 12 |
| 13 | 11 | PEGASUS HERO | 0.9% | 115.68 | 2 |
| 14 | 13 | THE EQUALIZER | 0.8% | 130.64 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 22.5
PLACE
1 21.5
6 11.5
11 294.5
QUINELLA
6,11 2,602.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 34
1,11 2,175.5
6,11 796.5
FORECAST
6,11 2,064
TIERCE
6,11,1 25,415
TRIO
1,6,11 6,287
FIRST 4
1,4,6,11 1,732
QUARTET
6,11,1,4 64,941
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 12
A2 —
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
11/6 326
11/11 2,773