Sha Tin · 2023-03-26 · 13:46
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-26 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SPEEDY SMARTIE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by SH, with MODULECONSTRUCTION second and TRUST ME third. The 4.3 favourite MODULECONSTRUCTION finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SPEEDY SMARTIE TT 1.10.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 3 | 4.4 | SH |
| 2 | 6 | MODULECONSTRUCTION TT M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 8 | 4.3 | SH |
| 3 | 9 | TRUST ME B/H/TT1 A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 12 | 7.7 | N |
| 4 | 2 | IMPERIAL MAGEE H-/SR/XB/TT S De Sousa · K H Ting | S De Sousa | K H Ting | 1 | 5.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK B H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 2 | 26.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 12 | NOBLE BOYZ B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 4 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | CHILLI BABA B C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 6 | 8.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | STARRY NIGHT B/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 10 | 15.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | ROARING BEBE XB1 L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 7 | 19.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | KING ECCELLENTE CP/H/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 11 | 14.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | CASA SACRED TT L Ferraris · J Richards | L Ferraris | J Richards | 9 | 97.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | CAPTAIN HURRICANE H1 M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 5 | 61.0 | 13-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 22.7% | 4.41 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | MODULECONSTRUCTION | 16.9% | 5.92 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | IMPERIAL MAGEE | 16.2% | 6.16 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | KING ECCELLENTE | 11.2% | 8.94 | 10 |
| 5 | 1 | CHILLI BABA | 8.4% | 11.96 | 7 |
| 6 | 12 | NOBLE BOYZ | 5.8% | 17.23 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | TRUST ME | 5.6% | 17.72 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | ROARING BEBE | 4.6% | 21.87 | 9 |
| 9 | 11 | STARRY NIGHT | 3.2% | 30.92 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | CAPTAIN HURRICANE | 2.5% | 40.01 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 1.9% | 53.46 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | CASA SACRED | 1.0% | 95.43 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 44.5
PLACE
6 15.5
8 20
9 26.5
QUINELLA
6,8 74.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 30
6,9 80.5
8,9 84
FORECAST
8,6 144
TIERCE
8,6,9 1,191
TRIO
6,8,9 282
FIRST 4
2,6,8,9 264
QUARTET
8,6,9,2 4,610
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
1/6 27.5
1/8 129.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 22
A2 —