Sha Tin · 2023-03-26 · 15:12
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LOST CHILD Closed strongly 1.22.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C W Chang | H Bowman | C W Chang | 11 | 5.6 | N |
| 2 | 0 | ARIEL CP1/TT1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 8.8 | N |
| 3 | 0 | GALVANIC Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 13 | 3.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | PUBLICIST H A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 1 | 6.5 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | GENERAL WINNER Closed strongly V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 6 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | KASI FARASI A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 2 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPERB MOVE Closed strongly B/TT S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 9 | 74.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | GALLANT HERO Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 7.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON Closed strongly H H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 14 | 66.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | DIAMOND FLARE B R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 12 | 58.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | FLYING GALLOP Closed strongly TT H N Wong · C S Shum | H N Wong | C S Shum | 10 | 160.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | BLISSFUL LIFE Led early B1/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 23.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 16.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 0 | YELLOWFIN L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | STRATHPEFFER Closed strongly H/SR K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | — | 37.0 | 6-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-26 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. LOST CHILD, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C W Chang, won by N, with ARIEL second and GALVANIC third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite GALVANIC finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ARIEL | 27.9% | 3.58 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | GALVANIC | 12.2% | 8.22 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | LOST CHILD | 11.6% | 8.65 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | PUBLICIST | 11.0% | 9.12 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | GALLANT HERO | 9.5% | 10.57 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | KASI FARASI | 5.8% | 17.21 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT | 5.5% | 18.33 | 14 |
| 8 | 0 | STRATHPEFFER | 4.3% | 23.12 | — |
| 9 | 0 | BLISSFUL LIFE | 3.0% | 32.84 | 13 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPERB MOVE | 3.0% | 32.89 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | GENERAL WINNER | 2.9% | 34.86 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | DIAMOND FLARE | 1.3% | 74.95 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 1.3% | 75.87 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | FLYING GALLOP | 0.7% | 139.85 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 56
PLACE
1 29
5 15.5
8 20.5
QUINELLA
1,8 227.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 65.5
1,8 79.5
5,8 36.5
FORECAST
8,1 354
TIERCE
8,1,5 973
TRIO
1,5,8 175
FIRST 4
1,3,5,8 222
QUARTET
8,1,5,3 4,920
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 20.5
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
6/1 135.5
6/8 518.5