Sha Tin · 2023-03-26 · 14:18
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING Closed strongly B/TT 1.23.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 8 | 10.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly V H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 3 | 4.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | YOUNG HORIZON Closed strongly H/P C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 13 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY NOVA Closed strongly TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 4 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | ALLOY STAR Closed strongly B M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 2 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MAXIMIZE HEART Closed strongly B- L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 14 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY Led early B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 6 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SPICY SKEWER B S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 11 | 28.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | HANDSOME GUYS TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 5 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | GIVE WAY PLEASE B/H/XB/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 9 | 5.7 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | HUNKY DORY B-/SR1/V1/TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 1 | 14.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 10 | 8.1 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | THIS IS GUTS TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 12 | 82.0 | 14 |
| — | 0 | FELIX THE KING B/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 22.0 | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-03-26 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ERNEST FEELING, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by R Gibson, won by SH, with WINWIN THIRTYTHREE second and YOUNG HORIZON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite WINWIN THIRTYTHREE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | YOUNG HORIZON | 13.4% | 7.47 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY NOVA | 13.3% | 7.55 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER | 12.0% | 8.33 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | GIVE WAY PLEASE | 10.5% | 9.49 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | ALLOY STAR | 8.8% | 11.32 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | HANDSOME GUYS | 7.6% | 13.18 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING | 6.6% | 15.23 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 6.1% | 16.50 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | SPICY SKEWER | 5.9% | 16.94 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | HUNKY DORY | 5.4% | 18.47 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | TRAVEL GLORY | 4.9% | 20.39 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | THIS IS GUTS | 3.3% | 30.29 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 2.2% | 44.63 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 108.5
PLACE
1 17.5
2 36.5
6 30.5
QUINELLA
1,6 250
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 98.5
1,6 85
2,6 205
FORECAST
6,1 719
TIERCE
6,1,2 7,109
TRIO
1,2,6 1,080
FIRST 4
1,2,5,6 3,693
QUARTET
6,1,2,5 95,174
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,8,9/1,2,6 30,088
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 19
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
8/1 33
8/6 693.5