沙田 · 2023-04-15 · 13:32
第 2場
2023-04-15沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的GOLDEN SAMURAI勝出，贏出NOSE。MARVEL DRAGON獲得亞軍；SUNLIGHT POWER獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門TRUST ME跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GOLDEN SAMURAI B/TT 1.09.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 21.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 9 | MARVEL DRAGON TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 7 | 4.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 7 | SUNLIGHT POWER K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 9 | 6.9 | N |
| 4 | 11 | SUPER HIGHWAY V/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 8 | 8.7 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | LUCKY PLANET SR1/XB1 L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 4 | 35.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | GLUCK RACER V M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 12 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | CHAMPION INSTINCT H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 3 | 4.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | EASY TWO TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 2 | 129.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | TRUST ME B/H/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 5 | 3.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | BEAT HOLLOW CP1 K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 40.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 10 | 25.0 | 6-3/4 |
| — | 3 | CALL ME MIGHTY H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CHAMPION INSTINCT | 27.2% | 3.68 | 7 |
| 2 | 9 | MARVEL DRAGON | 16.6% | 6.02 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | TRUST ME | 11.3% | 8.89 | 9 |
| 4 | 7 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 10.5% | 9.51 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 7.1% | 14.06 | 11 |
| 6 | 11 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 6.3% | 15.86 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | GOLDEN SAMURAI | 6.0% | 16.69 | 1 |
| 8 | 6 | LUCKY PLANET | 5.6% | 17.90 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | GLUCK RACER | 4.6% | 21.72 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | BEAT HOLLOW | 3.3% | 30.15 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | EASY TWO | 1.5% | 64.53 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 212.5
PLACE
5 48.5
7 25
9 17
QUINELLA
5,9 394
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 202
5,9 116
7,9 61.5
FORECAST
5,9 973
TIERCE
5,9,7 8,471
TRIO
5,7,9 762
FIRST 4
5,7,9,11 1,235
QUARTET
5,9,7,11 37,927
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE
10/5 1,405.5
10/9 63.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
6,10,11/5,7,9 136,778
3 PICK 1
A3 34.5
A2 —
A1 —