Sha Tin · 2023-04-15 · 13:32
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-15 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SAMURAI, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by NOSE, with MARVEL DRAGON second and SUNLIGHT POWER third. The 3.4 favourite TRUST ME finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | GOLDEN SAMURAI B/TT 1.09.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 21.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 9 | MARVEL DRAGON TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 7 | 4.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 7 | SUNLIGHT POWER K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 9 | 6.9 | N |
| 4 | 11 | SUPER HIGHWAY V/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 8 | 8.7 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | LUCKY PLANET SR1/XB1 L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 4 | 35.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | GLUCK RACER V M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 12 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | CHAMPION INSTINCT H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 3 | 4.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | EASY TWO TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 2 | 129.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | TRUST ME B/H/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 5 | 3.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | BEAT HOLLOW CP1 K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 40.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 10 | 25.0 | 6-3/4 |
| — | 3 | CALL ME MIGHTY H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CHAMPION INSTINCT | 27.2% | 3.68 | 7 |
| 2 | 9 | MARVEL DRAGON | 16.6% | 6.02 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | TRUST ME | 11.3% | 8.89 | 9 |
| 4 | 7 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 10.5% | 9.51 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 7.1% | 14.06 | 11 |
| 6 | 11 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 6.3% | 15.86 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | GOLDEN SAMURAI | 6.0% | 16.69 | 1 |
| 8 | 6 | LUCKY PLANET | 5.6% | 17.90 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | GLUCK RACER | 4.6% | 21.72 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | BEAT HOLLOW | 3.3% | 30.15 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | EASY TWO | 1.5% | 64.53 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 212.5
PLACE
5 48.5
7 25
9 17
QUINELLA
5,9 394
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 202
5,9 116
7,9 61.5
FORECAST
5,9 973
TIERCE
5,9,7 8,471
TRIO
5,7,9 762
FIRST 4
5,7,9,11 1,235
QUARTET
5,9,7,11 37,927
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/5 1,405.5
10/9 63.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
6,10,11/5,7,9 136,778
3 PICK 1
A3 34.5
A2 —
A1 —