Sha Tin · 2023-04-15 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | APEX TOP Wire to wire B 1.22.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 12 | 6.2 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | TOUCH FAITH Closed strongly P- Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | INSPIRING CITY Closed strongly L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 1 | 8.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT Closed strongly B A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 13 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GENERAL WINNER CP2 K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 4 | 4.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | VALHALLA Closed strongly B-/XB/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 11 | 7.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ONE STEP AHEAD Closed strongly B M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 9 | 25.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B2/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | YOUNG SPARKLE L Currie · A T Millard | L Currie | A T Millard | 3 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING B/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 2 | 7.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | BRILLIANT EIGHT B- K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 34.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | FLYING GALLOP Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 14 | 86.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | EASY LIFE B-/H-/TT V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 5 | 76.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | ALLOY STAR B H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 7 | 40.0 | 11-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-15 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. APEX TOP, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D J Whyte, won by 2, with TOUCH FAITH second and INSPIRING CITY third. The winner led throughout. The 4.1 favourite GENERAL WINNER finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TOUCH FAITH | 19.7% | 5.07 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | INSPIRING CITY | 13.8% | 7.25 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING | 11.8% | 8.47 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | VALHALLA | 11.5% | 8.68 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | GENERAL WINNER | 10.0% | 10.05 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | APEX TOP | 7.2% | 13.91 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | YOUNG SPARKLE | 5.0% | 19.91 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 4.6% | 21.71 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 4.6% | 21.72 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 3.9% | 25.40 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | ALLOY STAR | 3.4% | 29.41 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | BRILLIANT EIGHT | 2.0% | 50.16 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | EASY LIFE | 1.3% | 76.44 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | FLYING GALLOP | 1.1% | 88.96 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 62.5
PLACE
6 25
10 24.5
11 36
QUINELLA
10,11 276
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 85
6,11 127
10,11 105.5
FORECAST
10,11 660
TIERCE
10,11,6 3,362
TRIO
6,10,11 690
FIRST 4
6,10,11,13 3,041
QUARTET
10,11,6,13 49,051
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 36
A2 —