Sha Tin · 2023-04-15 · 16:39
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-15 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. HYPER DRAGON BALL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by 1-1/4, with MAJESTIC COLOUR second and PRIME MINISTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HYPER DRAGON BALL Closed strongly TT 1.22.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 1 | 2.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | MAJESTIC COLOUR V H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 7 | 4.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | MASTER TORNADO XB-/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 12 | 31.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | COPARTNER AMBITION Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 13 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | MASTER HERO Closed strongly XB/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 14 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 11 | 7.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | ERIMO B L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 3 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | TAMRA BLITZ Closed strongly H/SR/XB A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 10 | 22.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 9 | 80.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | FLYING DRAGON B-/XB1 C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 8 | 55.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | CHRYSOS TT1 V Borges · C Fownes | V Borges | C Fownes | 5 | 152.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 7 | KILINDINI Led early TT L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 6 | 38.0 | 8 |
| — | 14 | TATTENHAM A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HYPER DRAGON BALL | 35.0% | 2.86 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | MAJESTIC COLOUR | 12.5% | 7.99 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | HAPPY DAILY | 8.6% | 11.69 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | PRIME MINISTER | 7.4% | 13.43 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | MASTER TORNADO | 6.0% | 16.57 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 4.9% | 20.21 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | KILINDINI | 4.6% | 21.68 | 13 |
| 8 | 4 | TAMRA BLITZ | 4.3% | 23.42 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | ERIMO | 4.2% | 23.63 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | MASTER HERO | 4.2% | 24.07 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | SETANTA | 3.8% | 26.54 | 10 |
| 12 | 6 | FLYING DRAGON | 3.8% | 26.65 | 11 |
| 13 | 13 | CHRYSOS | 0.7% | 139.71 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 21.5
PLACE
1 16
2 40
9 12.5
QUINELLA
1,9 46.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 109.5
1,9 23.5
2,9 78.5
FORECAST
9,1 70
TIERCE
9,1,2 561
TRIO
1,2,9 188
FIRST 4
1,2,9,10 881
QUARTET
9,1,2,10 7,815
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 14
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,5>3,6/2>1,9,14 5,744
7TH DOUBLE
5/1 60
5/9,14 317