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Sha Tin · 2023-04-15 · 16:39

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course C 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.12
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 HYPER DRAGON BALL Closed strongly TT 1.22.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung 1 2.1 1-1/4
2 0 MAJESTIC COLOUR V H Bowman · F C Lor 7 4.2 1-1/4
3 0 PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly K C Leung · P F Yiu 2 18.0 1-3/4
4 0 MASTER TORNADO XB-/TT M Chadwick · W Y So 12 31.0 2-1/2
5 0 COPARTNER AMBITION Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum 13 14.0 2-3/4
6 0 MASTER HERO Closed strongly XB/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 14 21.0 3-1/2
7 0 HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly TT K Teetan · L Ho 11 7.7 3-3/4
8 0 ERIMO B L Currie · J Size 3 14.0 3-3/4
9 0 TAMRA BLITZ Closed strongly H/SR/XB A Hamelin · D J Whyte 10 22.0 4-1/2
11 0 FLYING DRAGON B-/XB1 C Y Ho · C H Yip 8 55.0 7-1/4
12 0 CHRYSOS TT1 V Borges · C Fownes 5 152.0 8
13 0 KILINDINI Led early TT L Ferraris · A T Millard 6 38.0 8
— 0 SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes — 80.0 6-3/4
— 0 TATTENHAM A Badel · P C Ng — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-15 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. HYPER DRAGON BALL, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by 1-1/4, with MAJESTIC COLOUR second and PRIME MINISTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HYPER DRAGON BALL—2. MAJESTIC COLOUR+1.25L3. PRIME MINISTER+1.75L4. MASTER TORNADO+2.5L5. COPARTNER AMBITION+2.75L6. MASTER HERO+3.5L7. HAPPY DAILY+3.75L8. ERIMO+3.75L9. TAMRA BLITZ+4.5L11. FLYING DRAGON+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick HYPER DRAGON BALL (35.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 HYPER DRAGON BALL 35.0% 2.86 1
2 0 MAJESTIC COLOUR 12.5% 7.99 2
3 0 HAPPY DAILY 8.6% 11.69 7
4 0 PRIME MINISTER 7.4% 13.43 3
5 0 MASTER TORNADO 6.0% 16.57 4
6 0 COPARTNER AMBITION 4.9% 20.21 5
7 0 KILINDINI 4.6% 21.68 13
8 0 TAMRA BLITZ 4.3% 23.42 9
9 0 ERIMO 4.2% 23.63 8
10 0 MASTER HERO 4.2% 24.07 6
11 0 SETANTA 3.8% 26.54 —
12 0 FLYING DRAGON 3.8% 26.65 11
13 0 CHRYSOS 0.7% 139.71 12
HYPER DRAGON BALL — wonMAJESTIC COLOURHAPPY DAILYPRIME MINISTERMASTER TORNADOCOPARTNER AMBITIONKILINDINITAMRA BLITZERIMOMASTER HEROSETANTAFLYING DRAGONCHRYSOS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 21.5

PLACE

1 16

2 40

9 12.5

QUINELLA

1,9 46.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 109.5

1,9 23.5

2,9 78.5

FORECAST

9,1 70

TIERCE

9,1,2 561

TRIO

1,2,9 188

FIRST 4

1,2,9,10 881

QUARTET

9,1,2,10 7,815

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 14

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,5>3,6/2>1,9,14 5,744

7TH DOUBLE

5/1 60

5/9,14 317