Sha Tin · 2023-04-15 · 17:13
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 4 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 1 | 78.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GOKO WIN B A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 2 | 6.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CARROLL STREET B-/SR1/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 8 | 80.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ADIOS TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 48.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | KA YING MASTER TT L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 11 | 135.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | TORONADO PHANTOM P-/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 10 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | WINNING DREAMER B C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 7 | 39.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | TRILLION WIN B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 6 | 25.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | NERVOUS WITNESS H/XB H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 3 | 6.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | IMA SINGLE MAN H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 66.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | VICTOR THE WINNER TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | — | 1.9 | 1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-15 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with ORIENTAL SMOKE second and GOKO WIN third. The 1.9 favourite VICTOR THE WINNER did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 30.2% | 3.31 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 25.5% | 3.93 | — |
| 3 | 0 | GOKO WIN | 10.0% | 10.03 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | ADIOS | 7.5% | 13.37 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | NERVOUS WITNESS | 6.8% | 14.71 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | TRILLION WIN | 5.3% | 18.93 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | CARROLL STREET | 4.0% | 24.81 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 3.5% | 28.46 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 2.1% | 47.85 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | KA YING MASTER | 2.0% | 50.09 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | WINNING DREAMER | 1.9% | 52.42 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 1.3% | 78.29 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 19.5
PLACE
5 11
9 115.5
11 17
QUINELLA
5,11 48
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 185.5
5,11 25
9,11 307.5
FORECAST
5,11 93
TIERCE
5,11,9 1,997
TRIO
5,9,11 714
FIRST 4
5,9,10,11 556
QUARTET
5,11,9,10 8,485
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 14
A3 —
A2 —
8TH DOUBLE
9,14/5 38.5
9,14/11 16.5