Sha Tin · 2023-04-15 · 14:01
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MAXIMIZE HEART Closed strongly 1.22.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 7 | 3.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAUTY NOVA Closed strongly TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SMART FOLKS Led early B/SR A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 5 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | YOUNG HORIZON Closed strongly H/P C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 6 | 5.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | MASTER OF LUCK Closed strongly H/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 14 | 30.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | SURE WINNER V- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 10 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | VIVA A LA H/P/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 4 | 40.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCK STAR Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 1 | 5.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | GIVE WAY PLEASE Closed strongly B/H/XB/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 3 | 9.1 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | ENCORE B/TT L Currie · C S Shum | L Currie | C S Shum | 11 | 24.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | VUKAN XB/V1/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 13 | 18.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SMART BEAUTY B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 9 | 83.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | ALL IS READY B V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 12 | 66.0 | 15 |
| 14 | 0 | TSUEN WAN GLORY H/TT L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 2 | 12.0 | 29-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-15 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MAXIMIZE HEART, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C H Yip, won by 3/4, with BEAUTY NOVA second and SMART FOLKS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCK STAR | 21.6% | 4.63 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | YOUNG HORIZON | 14.2% | 7.03 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | SMART FOLKS | 9.1% | 10.99 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | GIVE WAY PLEASE | 8.2% | 12.17 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | MASTER OF LUCK | 7.3% | 13.65 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY NOVA | 7.3% | 13.79 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 6.7% | 14.94 | 14 |
| 8 | 0 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 6.0% | 16.55 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | VUKAN | 5.9% | 16.90 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | VIVA A LA | 4.8% | 20.98 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | ENCORE | 3.3% | 30.66 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | ALL IS READY | 2.3% | 43.96 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | SURE WINNER | 1.8% | 56.01 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | SMART BEAUTY | 1.5% | 65.26 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 35.5
PLACE
4 39.5
7 14.5
9 31
QUINELLA
7,9 261.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 85.5
4,9 175.5
7,9 94.5
FORECAST
7,9 427
TIERCE
7,9,4 4,116
TRIO
4,7,9 970
FIRST 4
4,5,7,9 539
QUARTET
7,9,4,5 13,764
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
5/7 1,556.5
5/9 442
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 22
A3 —