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Sha Tin · 2023-04-15 · 16:08

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C 13 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-15 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. WIDE BLUE YONDER, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with ROMAN TURBO second and GOLDEN BULL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite GOLDEN BULL finished 3rd.

Result

Official · 1.21.95
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 WIDE BLUE YONDER Closed strongly B/TT 1.21.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D A Hayes 6 8.4 1/2
2 1 ROMAN TURBO Closed strongly XB K H Chan · D J Hall 9 21.0 1/2
3 3 GOLDEN BULL XB/B1/TT Z Purton · C S Shum 8 2.1 1-1/2
4 10 COMMANDING MISSILE Closed strongly PC-/H/TT- H T Mo · C W Chang 10 83.0 2
5 8 MASTER OF FORTUNE Closed strongly TT K Teetan · P C Ng 13 16.0 2
6 4 IMPERIAL MAGEE Closed strongly SR/XB/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting 5 16.0 3
7 9 TOGEPI H Bowman · A T Millard 1 3.3 3-1/4
8 14 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly V C Wong · P F Yiu 4 36.0 3-1/2
9 11 PROSECCO Led early CP1 A Hamelin · R Gibson 7 19.0 5
10 2 GOLDEN WARSTEED TT M Chadwick · W Y So 12 81.0 6-1/4
11 13 FIRE BALL M F Poon · C H Yip 11 39.0 8-1/2
12 12 BLISSFUL LIFE B-/CP1/TT K C Leung · K L Man 3 60.0 11-1/2
13 7 HAPPY BEAR B1/XB1/TT1 L Currie · J Richards 2 101.0 30-3/4
6 YELLOWFIN C Y Ho · K W Lui

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WIDE BLUE YONDER2. ROMAN TURBO+0.5L3. GOLDEN BULL+1.5L4. COMMANDING MISSILE+2L5. MASTER OF FORTUNE+2L6. IMPERIAL MAGEE+3L7. TOGEPI+3.25L8. WINWIN THIRTYTHREE+3.5L9. PROSECCO+5L10. GOLDEN WARSTEED+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick GOLDEN BULL (28.4%) finished 3rd — the winner WIDE BLUE YONDER was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 GOLDEN BULL 28.4% 3.52 3
2 9 TOGEPI 26.0% 3.85 7
3 8 MASTER OF FORTUNE 7.5% 13.34 5
4 4 IMPERIAL MAGEE 7.1% 14.09 6
5 5 WIDE BLUE YONDER 6.2% 16.25 1
6 11 PROSECCO 5.2% 19.40 9
7 14 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 4.3% 23.42 8
8 1 ROMAN TURBO 4.0% 25.14 2
9 7 HAPPY BEAR 3.6% 27.51 13
10 12 BLISSFUL LIFE 3.2% 31.62 12
11 10 COMMANDING MISSILE 1.9% 52.18 4
12 13 FIRE BALL 1.4% 73.29 11
13 2 GOLDEN WARSTEED 1.4% 73.30 10
GOLDEN BULLTOGEPIMASTER OF FORTUNEIMPERIAL MAGEEWIDE BLUE YONDER — wonPROSECCOWINWIN THIRTYTHREEROMAN TURBOHAPPY BEARBLISSFUL LIFECOMMANDING MISSILEFIRE BALLGOLDEN WARSTEED

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 84.5

PLACE

1 41.5

3 11.5

5 23

QUINELLA

1,5 799

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 67

1,5 188

3,5 38.5

FORECAST

5,1 1,437

TIERCE

5,1,3 3,357

TRIO

1,3,5 413

FIRST 4

1,3,5,10 5,590

QUARTET

5,1,3,10 184,252

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1

A3 28.5

A2

6TH DOUBLE

14/1 394.5

14/5 1,470.5