Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2023-04-15 · 16:08

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course C 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.95
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 WIDE BLUE YONDER Closed strongly B/TT 1.21.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D A Hayes 6 8.4 1/2
2 0 ROMAN TURBO Closed strongly XB K H Chan · D J Hall 9 21.0 1/2
3 0 GOLDEN BULL XB/B1/TT Z Purton · C S Shum 8 2.1 1-1/2
4 0 COMMANDING MISSILE Closed strongly PC-/H/TT- H T Mo · C W Chang 10 83.0 2
5 0 MASTER OF FORTUNE Closed strongly TT K Teetan · P C Ng 13 16.0 2
6 0 IMPERIAL MAGEE Closed strongly SR/XB/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting 5 16.0 3
7 0 TOGEPI H Bowman · A T Millard 1 3.3 3-1/4
8 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly V C Wong · P F Yiu 4 36.0 3-1/2
9 0 PROSECCO Led early CP1 A Hamelin · R Gibson 7 19.0 5
10 0 GOLDEN WARSTEED TT M Chadwick · W Y So 12 81.0 6-1/4
11 0 FIRE BALL M F Poon · C H Yip 11 39.0 8-1/2
12 0 BLISSFUL LIFE B-/CP1/TT K C Leung · K L Man 3 60.0 11-1/2
13 0 HAPPY BEAR B1/XB1/TT1 L Currie · J Richards 2 101.0 30-3/4
— 0 YELLOWFIN C Y Ho · K W Lui — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-15 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. WIDE BLUE YONDER, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with ROMAN TURBO second and GOLDEN BULL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite GOLDEN BULL finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WIDE BLUE YONDER—2. ROMAN TURBO+0.5L3. GOLDEN BULL+1.5L4. COMMANDING MISSILE+2L5. MASTER OF FORTUNE+2L6. IMPERIAL MAGEE+3L7. TOGEPI+3.25L8. WINWIN THIRTYTHREE+3.5L9. PROSECCO+5L10. GOLDEN WARSTEED+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick GOLDEN BULL (28.4%) finished 3rd — the winner WIDE BLUE YONDER was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GOLDEN BULL 28.4% 3.52 3
2 0 TOGEPI 26.0% 3.85 7
3 0 MASTER OF FORTUNE 7.5% 13.34 5
4 0 IMPERIAL MAGEE 7.1% 14.09 6
5 0 WIDE BLUE YONDER 6.2% 16.25 1
6 0 PROSECCO 5.2% 19.40 9
7 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 4.3% 23.42 8
8 0 ROMAN TURBO 4.0% 25.14 2
9 0 HAPPY BEAR 3.6% 27.51 13
10 0 BLISSFUL LIFE 3.2% 31.62 12
11 0 COMMANDING MISSILE 1.9% 52.18 4
12 0 FIRE BALL 1.4% 73.29 11
13 0 GOLDEN WARSTEED 1.4% 73.30 10
GOLDEN BULLTOGEPIMASTER OF FORTUNEIMPERIAL MAGEEWIDE BLUE YONDER — wonPROSECCOWINWIN THIRTYTHREEROMAN TURBOHAPPY BEARBLISSFUL LIFECOMMANDING MISSILEFIRE BALLGOLDEN WARSTEED

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 84.5

PLACE

1 41.5

3 11.5

5 23

QUINELLA

1,5 799

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 67

1,5 188

3,5 38.5

FORECAST

5,1 1,437

TIERCE

5,1,3 3,357

TRIO

1,3,5 413

FIRST 4

1,3,5,10 5,590

QUARTET

5,1,3,10 184,252

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 28.5

A2 —

A1 —

6TH DOUBLE

14/1 394.5

14/5 1,470.5