Sha Tin · 2023-04-15 · 15:06
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WAR OF COURAGE Closed strongly B 1.22.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 13 | 54.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | RED HARE KING Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 4.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | WAR WEAPON Closed strongly XB/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 14 | 5.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 5.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | HORSESAIN BOLT Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 2 | 9.9 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | COLONEL Led early V H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 6 | 48.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly B/XB A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 11 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAU GOSSE CP/H1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | FLAMINGO TRILLION K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 5 | 7.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | STAR OF GLORY B C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 8 | 97.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | CHARMANDER Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 10 | 21.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | PROUD DRAGON V H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 9 | 11.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON H/V1 L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 12 | 95.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | COUNTRY BOY H/P/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 21.0 | 42-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-15 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. WAR OF COURAGE, ridden by K H Chan and trained by K L Man, won by 1/2, with RED HARE KING second and WAR WEAPON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite RED HARE KING finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PROUD DRAGON | 12.7% | 7.88 | 12 |
| 2 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD | 11.9% | 8.43 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 11.8% | 8.48 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | RED HARE KING | 10.3% | 9.72 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | WAR WEAPON | 10.3% | 9.75 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | CHARMANDER | 8.3% | 12.06 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 7.8% | 12.82 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | COUNTRY BOY | 7.4% | 13.56 | 14 |
| 9 | 0 | TURIN WARRIOR | 6.0% | 16.64 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | COLONEL | 4.8% | 20.99 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | WAR OF COURAGE | 3.3% | 30.08 | 1 |
| 12 | 0 | STAR OF GLORY | 2.1% | 46.83 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | BEAU GOSSE | 2.1% | 48.09 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 1.3% | 76.11 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 542
PLACE
7 19.5
10 17.5
11 136.5
QUINELLA
10,11 1,354.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 58
7,11 360
10,11 409
FORECAST
11,10 4,050
TIERCE
11,10,7 27,241
TRIO
7,10,11 1,789
FIRST 4
3,7,10,11 2,665
QUARTET
11,10,7,3 107,470
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 21
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
1/10 16.5
1/11 820.5