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Sha Tin · 2023-04-15 · 17:48

Race 10

Class 3 GOOD 1600m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.45
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly B 1.35.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · P F Yiu 13 10.0 N
2 0 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H1/TT Z Purton · R Gibson 14 4.7 N
3 0 THE BEST PEACH Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 7 11.0 N
4 0 CELTIC TIMES B/XB1/TT K Teetan · K H Ting 8 8.0 1/2
5 0 UNIVERSAL HORIZON C Y Ho · K W Lui 9 4.2 3/4
6 0 ROMANTIC CHARM Led early B/TT K H Chan · C S Shum 11 87.0 1-3/4
7 0 ENTRUSTED Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · W Y So 5 45.0 2
8 0 INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly TT V Borges · C Fownes 3 30.0 3
9 0 RUNNING AHEAD TT L Currie · T P Yung 2 60.0 3-1/4
10 0 LEADING FORTUNE B A Hamelin · J Size 1 66.0 3-3/4
11 0 MASSIVE ACTION SR/V K C Leung · F C Lor 12 20.0 3-3/4
12 0 NEVER TOO SOON TT L Ferraris · D J Hall 6 24.0 4
12 0 PEGASUS HERO Closed strongly L Hewitson · Y S Tsui 10 33.0 4
14 0 SINBA B/TT H Bowman · J Richards 4 4.2 4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-15 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. POWERFUL WINGS, ridden by A Badel and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with HAPPY TOGETHER second and THE BEST PEACH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite UNIVERSAL HORIZON finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. POWERFUL WINGS—2. HAPPY TOGETHER+0.05L3. THE BEST PEACH+0.05L4. CELTIC TIMES+0.5L5. UNIVERSAL HORIZON+0.75L6. ROMANTIC CHARM+1.75L7. ENTRUSTED+2L8. INVINCIBLE MISSILE+3L9. RUNNING AHEAD+3.25L10. LEADING FORTUNE+3.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick SINBA (20.6%) finished 14th — the winner POWERFUL WINGS was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SINBA 20.6% 4.86 14
2 0 UNIVERSAL HORIZON 19.4% 5.16 5
3 0 HAPPY TOGETHER 12.9% 7.74 2
4 0 POWERFUL WINGS 7.7% 12.99 1
5 0 CELTIC TIMES 7.3% 13.76 4
6 0 THE BEST PEACH 5.1% 19.49 3
7 0 NEVER TOO SOON 4.9% 20.61 12
8 0 MASSIVE ACTION 4.5% 22.31 11
9 0 INVINCIBLE MISSILE 3.5% 28.53 8
10 0 ROMANTIC CHARM 3.0% 33.19 6
11 0 ENTRUSTED 2.9% 34.85 7
12 0 PEGASUS HERO 2.8% 35.24 12
13 0 RUNNING AHEAD 2.8% 35.49 9
14 0 LEADING FORTUNE 2.7% 37.54 10
SINBAUNIVERSAL HORIZONHAPPY TOGETHERPOWERFUL WINGS — wonCELTIC TIMESTHE BEST PEACHNEVER TOO SOONMASSIVE ACTIONINVINCIBLE MISSILEROMANTIC CHARMENTRUSTEDPEGASUS HERORUNNING AHEADLEADING FORTUNE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 103

PLACE

4 18.5

6 35.5

8 32

QUINELLA

4,8 278

QUINELLA PLACE

4,6 112.5

4,8 93.5

6,8 159

FORECAST

8,4 703

TIERCE

8,4,6 5,503

TRIO

4,6,8 899

FIRST 4

4,6,8,12 1,549

QUARTET

8,4,6,12 39,782

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 23

A1 —

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

5,9,11/4,6,8 57,395

9TH DOUBLE

5/4 22

5/8 222

SIX UP

10,11/5,14/1,5/1,9,14/5,11/4,8 5,821

11/14/5/9,14/5/8 2,635,297

1 [Z Purton] —

1 [J Size] —

TREBLE

9,14/5/4 31

9,14/5/8 441