沙田 · 2023-04-15 · 17:48
第 10場
2023-04-15沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、P F Yiu訓練的POWERFUL WINGS勝出，贏出N。HAPPY TOGETHER獲得亞軍；THE BEST PEACH獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.2倍大熱門UNIVERSAL HORIZON跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | POWERFUL WINGS 後段發力 B 1.35.45 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 13 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 4 | HAPPY TOGETHER 後段發力 H1/TT Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 14 | 4.7 | N |
| 3 | 6 | THE BEST PEACH 後段發力 TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 11.0 | N |
| 4 | 12 | CELTIC TIMES B/XB1/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 8 | 8.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 13 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 4.2 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | ROMANTIC CHARM 早段領放 B/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 11 | 87.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | ENTRUSTED 後段發力 CP/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 5 | 45.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 14 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE 後段發力 TT V Borges · C Fownes | V Borges | C Fownes | 3 | 30.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | RUNNING AHEAD TT L Currie · T P Yung | L Currie | T P Yung | 2 | 60.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | LEADING FORTUNE B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 1 | 66.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | MASSIVE ACTION SR/V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 20.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | NEVER TOO SOON TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 11 | PEGASUS HERO 後段發力 L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 10 | 33.0 | 4 |
| 14 | 1 | SINBA B/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 4 | 4.2 | 4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SINBA | 20.6% | 4.86 | 14 |
| 2 | 13 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 19.4% | 5.16 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 12.9% | 7.74 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | POWERFUL WINGS | 7.7% | 12.99 | 1 |
| 5 | 12 | CELTIC TIMES | 7.3% | 13.76 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | THE BEST PEACH | 5.1% | 19.49 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | NEVER TOO SOON | 4.9% | 20.61 | 12 |
| 8 | 7 | MASSIVE ACTION | 4.5% | 22.31 | 11 |
| 9 | 14 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 3.5% | 28.53 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | ROMANTIC CHARM | 3.0% | 33.19 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | ENTRUSTED | 2.9% | 34.85 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | PEGASUS HERO | 2.8% | 35.24 | 12 |
| 13 | 10 | RUNNING AHEAD | 2.8% | 35.49 | 9 |
| 14 | 3 | LEADING FORTUNE | 2.7% | 37.54 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 103
PLACE
4 18.5
6 35.5
8 32
QUINELLA
4,8 278
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 112.5
4,8 93.5
6,8 159
FORECAST
8,4 703
TIERCE
8,4,6 5,503
TRIO
4,6,8 899
FIRST 4
4,6,8,12 1,549
QUARTET
8,4,6,12 39,782
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 23
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,9,11/4,6,8 57,395
9TH DOUBLE
5/4 22
5/8 222
SIX UP
10,11/5,14/1,5/1,9,14/5,11/4,8 5,821
11/14/5/9,14/5/8 2,635,297
1 [Z Purton] —
1 [J Size] —
TREBLE
9,14/5/4 31
9,14/5/8 441