沙田 · 2023-04-15 · 17:13
第 9場
2023-04-15沙田第9場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的VICTOR THE WINNER勝出，贏出1/2。HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE獲得亞軍；ORIENTAL SMOKE獲得季軍。頭馬以1.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | VICTOR THE WINNER TT 1.08.80 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 1.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 4 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 1 | 78.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | GOKO WIN B A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 2 | 6.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | CARROLL STREET B-/SR1/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 8 | 80.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | ADIOS TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 12 | 48.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | KA YING MASTER TT L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 11 | 135.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | TORONADO PHANTOM P-/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 10 | 31.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | WINNING DREAMER B C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 7 | 39.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | TRILLION WIN B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 6 | 25.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | NERVOUS WITNESS H/XB H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 3 | 6.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | IMA SINGLE MAN H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 66.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 30.2% | 3.31 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 25.5% | 3.93 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | GOKO WIN | 10.0% | 10.03 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | ADIOS | 7.5% | 13.37 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | NERVOUS WITNESS | 6.8% | 14.71 | 11 |
| 6 | 2 | TRILLION WIN | 5.3% | 18.93 | 10 |
| 7 | 7 | CARROLL STREET | 4.0% | 24.81 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 3.5% | 28.46 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 2.1% | 47.85 | 8 |
| 10 | 4 | KA YING MASTER | 2.0% | 50.09 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | WINNING DREAMER | 1.9% | 52.42 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | IMA SINGLE MAN | 1.3% | 78.29 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 19.5
PLACE
5 11
9 115.5
11 17
QUINELLA
5,11 48
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 185.5
5,11 25
9,11 307.5
FORECAST
5,11 93
TIERCE
5,11,9 1,997
TRIO
5,9,11 714
FIRST 4
5,9,10,11 556
QUARTET
5,11,9,10 8,485
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 14
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
9,14/5 38.5
9,14/11 16.5