Sha Tin · 2023-04-15 · 14:33
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOLDEN EXPRESS 1.08.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 1.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | GOLDEN LINK H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 10 | 71.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | VICTORY MOMENTS SR/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | EURO ROCKS TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 8.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | NICCONI COUNTY TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 11 | 46.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | PULSAR STRIDER B- L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 5 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | BEATO B1/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 39.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 1 | 82.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | DESERT STAR SR1 K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 12 | 76.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | ENNEA FORTUNE H/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 4 | 19.0 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | NABOO LEGEND B1 M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 3 | 33.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | O'LINER TT1 A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 8 | 43.0 | 16-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-15 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN EXPRESS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1-3/4, with GOLDEN LINK second and VICTORY MOMENTS third. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GOLDEN EXPRESS | 41.2% | 2.43 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | EURO ROCKS | 10.6% | 9.47 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | VICTORY MOMENTS | 9.0% | 11.07 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | ENNEA FORTUNE | 7.4% | 13.46 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | PULSAR STRIDER | 6.9% | 14.45 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | NICCONI COUNTY | 5.8% | 17.21 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | BEATO | 5.3% | 18.97 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | NABOO LEGEND | 4.3% | 23.25 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | GOLDEN LINK | 3.4% | 29.36 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | DESERT STAR | 2.5% | 40.23 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | O'LINER | 2.0% | 50.21 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 1.6% | 62.63 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 13.5
PLACE
1 10.1
7 24.5
12 99.5
QUINELLA
1,12 385.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 31
1,12 130
7,12 539
FORECAST
1,12 407
TIERCE
1,12,7 2,840
TRIO
1,7,12 1,049
FIRST 4
1,6,7,12 690
QUARTET
1,12,7,6 10,799
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,9/1,7,12 89,328
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 12
3RD DOUBLE
7/1 58.5
7/12 689