Sha Tin · 2023-04-15 · 15:36
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-04-15 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. FOREVER GLORIOUS, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1, with GOLD TACK second and TURQUOISE ALPHA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite GOLD TACK finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | FOREVER GLORIOUS Closed strongly B/TT 1.47.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 15.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | GOLD TACK Closed strongly CP1 H Bowman · A T Millard | H Bowman | A T Millard | 12 | 3.8 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP/XB M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 3 | 9.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | VINCY Closed strongly SR/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 14 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | SURREALISM Closed strongly B Y L Chung · R Gibson | Y L Chung | R Gibson | 8 | 46.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | REGENCY MASTER B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 1 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | DRAGON DELIGHT CP Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 4.9 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | PACKING HURRICANE Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 5 | 36.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | PALACE PAL A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 4 | 5.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | INCANTO PREPARED Closed strongly E/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 10 | 37.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | DEAR SIBLING Closed strongly B K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 13 | 73.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | LUCKY DIAMOND B/TT L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 11 | 33.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | OSCAR GLORY Led early V L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 2 | 16.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 9 | ROBOT WARRIOR V K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 18.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 19.7% | 5.09 | 7 |
| 2 | 5 | GOLD TACK | 19.5% | 5.13 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | PALACE PAL | 10.3% | 9.73 | 9 |
| 4 | 6 | OSCAR GLORY | 8.9% | 11.19 | 13 |
| 5 | 12 | REGENCY MASTER | 8.1% | 12.35 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 7.6% | 13.10 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | SURREALISM | 5.2% | 19.37 | 5 |
| 8 | 14 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 5.1% | 19.74 | 1 |
| 9 | 13 | VINCY | 4.5% | 22.47 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | INCANTO PREPARED | 3.7% | 26.83 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | LUCKY DIAMOND | 3.7% | 27.37 | 12 |
| 12 | 1 | PACKING HURRICANE | 2.4% | 41.19 | 8 |
| 13 | 10 | DEAR SIBLING | 1.4% | 70.44 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 152
PLACE
5 16
7 29
14 46
QUINELLA
5,14 310
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 77.5
5,14 118
7,14 198.5
FORECAST
14,5 897
TIERCE
14,5,7 5,873
TRIO
5,7,14 1,084
FIRST 4
5,7,13,14 2,081
QUARTET
14,5,7,13 48,568
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 31
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
7,10,11/5,7,14 213,731
5TH DOUBLE
11/5 483
11/14 8,435
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,7,12/7,10,11/Any Combination 220,450