跑馬地 · 2023-04-19 · 19:16
第 2場
2023-04-19跑馬地第2場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、F C Lor訓練的SUNSHINE LEGENDARY勝出，贏出HD。DRAGON KINGDOM獲得亞軍；THE GOOD DEAL獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門THE GOOD DEAL跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SUNSHINE LEGENDARY B-/XB-/CP2 1.10.07 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 4 | 6.9 | HD |
| 2 | 5 | DRAGON KINGDOM S De Sousa · Y S Tsui | S De Sousa | Y S Tsui | 6 | 28.0 | HD |
| 3 | 10 | THE GOOD DEAL TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 7 | 3.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | HANDSOME GUYS XB1/B2/TT K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 3 | 5.7 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | M M NEBULA B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 8 | 6.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | JACK WIN B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | BIRDSVILLE SR/B2/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 5 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | ACA POWER CP L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 2 | 9.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 2 | ISLAND SHINE B2 H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 9 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | GENERAL ACE CP/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | NOIR RIDER B-/V1/TT2 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 1 | 31.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | LE PLUS VITE H/PC/XB A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 12 | 76.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | JACK WIN | 17.1% | 5.85 | 6 |
| 2 | 3 | M M NEBULA | 11.0% | 9.09 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | ISLAND SHINE | 10.7% | 9.33 | 9 |
| 4 | 12 | HANDSOME GUYS | 10.6% | 9.39 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | THE GOOD DEAL | 10.1% | 9.95 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | ACA POWER | 9.5% | 10.56 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | GENERAL ACE | 8.2% | 12.22 | 10 |
| 8 | 1 | BIRDSVILLE | 6.1% | 16.42 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | SUNSHINE LEGENDARY | 5.8% | 17.26 | 1 |
| 10 | 5 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 5.1% | 19.63 | 2 |
| 11 | 7 | NOIR RIDER | 3.4% | 29.83 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | LE PLUS VITE | 2.5% | 39.59 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 69.5
PLACE
5 80
9 21.5
10 15
QUINELLA
5,9 1,031
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 313.5
5,10 178
9,10 57
FORECAST
9,5 1,752
TIERCE
9,5,10 10,098
TRIO
5,9,10 1,228
FIRST 4
5,9,10,12 2,347
QUARTET
9,5,10,12 74,740
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
1/5 233
1/9 296.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 24.5