跑馬地 · 2023-04-19 · 22:19
第 8場
2023-04-19跑馬地第8場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、J Richards訓練的SIXTH GENERATION勝出，贏出4。HELENE WISDOM STAR獲得亞軍；PERFECT TO GREAT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.9倍大熱門PERFECT TO GREAT跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SIXTH GENERATION 後段發力 H/TT 1.40.59 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 9 | 4.0 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | HELENE WISDOM STAR 後段發力 B/H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 10 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | PERFECT TO GREAT 後段發力 SR/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 6 | 3.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | BLISSFUL STAR V/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 4 | 6.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER B L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 1 | 7.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | FEARLESS FIRE B/XB Y L Chung · D A Hayes | Y L Chung | D A Hayes | 11 | 28.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | BORN THE SAME DAY 後段發力 H/XB1 M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 12 | 47.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | STRATHPEFFER H/SR A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 8 | 61.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | PEAK TO PEAK 後段發力 B2/TT S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 7 | 9.9 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | TELECOM CHEETAH B/XB/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 3 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | SPEEDSTAR 早段領放 B K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 5 | 44.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | SUPER MAGIC B C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 2 | 32.0 | 30-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SIXTH GENERATION | 21.0% | 4.77 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 13.1% | 7.65 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | BLISSFUL STAR | 12.3% | 8.15 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | SPEEDSTAR | 9.5% | 10.50 | 11 |
| 5 | 7 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 8.9% | 11.26 | 10 |
| 6 | 4 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 8.6% | 11.59 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 8.2% | 12.26 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | PEAK TO PEAK | 6.3% | 15.92 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | FEARLESS FIRE | 5.9% | 16.88 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | BORN THE SAME DAY | 2.9% | 34.08 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | STRATHPEFFER | 2.0% | 50.78 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | SUPER MAGIC | 1.4% | 71.52 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 40.5
PLACE
1 17
4 28
6 14.5
QUINELLA
1,4 172.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 66
1,6 37.5
4,6 74.5
FORECAST
1,4 300
TIERCE
1,4,6 814
TRIO
1,4,6 184
FIRST 4
1,2,4,6 188
QUARTET
1,4,6,2 3,020
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 30.5
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
7/1 71
7/4 24