Happy Valley · 2023-04-19 · 22:19
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SIXTH GENERATION Closed strongly H/TT 1.40.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 9 | 4.0 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR Closed strongly B/H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 10 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT Closed strongly SR/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 6 | 3.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | BLISSFUL STAR V/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 4 | 6.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER B L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 1 | 7.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE B/XB Y L Chung · D A Hayes | Y L Chung | D A Hayes | 11 | 28.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | BORN THE SAME DAY Closed strongly H/XB1 M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 12 | 47.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | PEAK TO PEAK Closed strongly B2/TT S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 7 | 9.9 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | TELECOM CHEETAH B/XB/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 3 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | SPEEDSTAR Led early B K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 5 | 44.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER MAGIC B C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 2 | 32.0 | 30-1/4 |
| — | 0 | STRATHPEFFER H/SR A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | — | 61.0 | 6-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-04-19 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SIXTH GENERATION, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by J Richards, won by 4, with HELENE WISDOM STAR second and PERFECT TO GREAT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite PERFECT TO GREAT finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SIXTH GENERATION | 21.0% | 4.77 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER | 13.1% | 7.65 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | BLISSFUL STAR | 12.3% | 8.15 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | SPEEDSTAR | 9.5% | 10.50 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | TELECOM CHEETAH | 8.9% | 11.26 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 8.6% | 11.59 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 8.2% | 12.26 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | PEAK TO PEAK | 6.3% | 15.92 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 5.9% | 16.88 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | BORN THE SAME DAY | 2.9% | 34.08 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | STRATHPEFFER | 2.0% | 50.78 | — |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER MAGIC | 1.4% | 71.52 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 40.5
PLACE
1 17
4 28
6 14.5
QUINELLA
1,4 172.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 66
1,6 37.5
4,6 74.5
FORECAST
1,4 300
TIERCE
1,4,6 814
TRIO
1,4,6 184
FIRST 4
1,2,4,6 188
QUARTET
1,4,6,2 3,020
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 30.5
A3 —
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
7/1 71
7/4 24